What markets are included in the Toulouse vs Marseille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Toulouse vs Marseille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Toulouse vs Marseille

Toulouse vs Marseille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2024-08-31 19:00

Toulouse

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

56%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Marseille

Away

Prediction Summary

31%

24%

45%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Toulouse (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate71%

Marseille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Toulouse

WDWDL

Marseille

WWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 76%

29% +1.5 59%

0% +2.5 35%

0% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 12%

71% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Toulouse averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Marseille averages 1.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

31%

Draw

24%

Away Win

45%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Toulouse 0 - 1 Marseille Away

Mar 2026 Toulouse(A) 2 - 2 Marseille Draw

Nov 2025 Toulouse(A) 2 - 2 Marseille Draw

Apr 2025 Toulouse(A) 2 - 3 Marseille Away

Aug 2024 Toulouse 1 - 3 Marseille Away

In the last 5 meetings, Toulouse won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Toulouse — unbeaten run (home)2

Toulouse — scoring streak (home)5

Marseille — winless run (away)0

Marseille — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Toulouse Win (1)31%

Draw (X)24%

Marseille Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 76%

29% +1.5 59%

0% +2.5 35%

0% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 12%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 24%

71% -1.5 41%

100% -2.5 65%

100% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 88%

Toulouse vs Marseille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Toulouse — scored (home)1.18

Toulouse — conceded (home)1.29

Marseille — scored (away)1.94

Marseille — conceded (away)1.41

Model expected combined goals2.91

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Toulouse — BTTS matches (home)71%

Marseille — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.576%

Under 5.524%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.556%

Under 7.544%

Over 8.541%

Under 8.559%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Toulouse (home)

Corners for5.2

Corners against3.2

Marseille (away)

Corners for5.1

Corners against3.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Toulouse

9 8 11 3 13

Marseille

9 7 7 11 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Toulouse (home)

For1.6

Marseille (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Toulouse — total shots (home)12.3

Marseille — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Toulouse — on target (home)4.8

Marseille — on target (away)5.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Toulouse

Inside the box8.88

Outside the box2.97

Marseille

Inside the box9.94

Outside the box4.5

Player Shots Toulouse

W. Kamanzi

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target4%

+1.5 On Target4%

G. Suazo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Z. Aboukhlal

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target23%

N. Edjouma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Y. Gboho

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Marseille

M. Greenwood

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target59%

A. Gouiri

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target93%

+1.5 On Target50%

A. Rabiot

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target24%

E. Wahi

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Nadir

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Toulouse xG (home)1.46

Marseille xG (away)1.91

Average Possession

44.74% Possession 63.59%

Team Comparison Toulouse vs Marseille

80.18% Pass accuracy 88.94%

396.94 Passes per match 642.18

-0.09 Goals prevented 0.11

12.97 Fouls committed 11.59

2 Goalkeeper saves 2.71

1.77 Offsides 1.66

17.82 Tackles per match 16.21

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Toulouse vs Marseille prediction analysis

Review Toulouse vs Marseille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights