What markets are included in the Toulouse vs Metz prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Toulouse vs Metz prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Toulouse vs Metz

Toulouse vs Metz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-10-19 15:15

Toulouse

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

88%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

Metz

Away

Prediction Summary

59%

17%

25%

Over 2.5

88%

BTTS Yes

82%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Toulouse (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate41%

Metz (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match2.59

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Toulouse

WWDLL

Metz

DLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 59%

47% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 6%

6% +4.5 0%

41% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 88%. Model confidence is High.

Toulouse averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Metz averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

88%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

59%

Draw

17%

Away Win

25%

Over 2.5

88%

BTTS Yes

82%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Toulouse(A) 4 - 3 Metz Home

Oct 2025 Toulouse 4 - 0 Metz Home

Jan 2024 Toulouse(A) 1 - 0 Metz Home

Oct 2023 Toulouse 3 - 0 Metz Home

Sep 2019 Toulouse(A) 2 - 2 Metz Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Toulouse won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Toulouse — unbeaten run (home)2

Toulouse — scoring streak (home)2

Metz — winless run (away)11

Metz — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Toulouse Win (1)59%

Draw (X)17%

Metz Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 59%

47% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 6%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 41%

53% -1.5 71%

82% -2.5 94%

88% -3.5 94%

94% -4.5 100%

Toulouse vs Metz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Toulouse — scored (home)1.47

Toulouse — conceded (home)1.41

Metz — scored (away)1

Metz — conceded (away)2.59

Model expected combined goals5

Both Teams To Score

Yes82%

No18%

Rate per Team

Toulouse — BTTS matches (home)41%

Metz — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Toulouse (home)

Corners for5.1

Corners against4.4

Metz (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Toulouse

6 15 6 11 15

Metz

11 10 14 11 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Toulouse (home)

For1.9

Metz (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Toulouse — total shots (home)14.7

Metz — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Toulouse — on target (home)4.8

Metz — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Toulouse

Inside the box8.36

Outside the box4.48

Metz

Inside the box6.26

Outside the box3.79

Player Shots Toulouse

P. Diop

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target13%

F. Magri

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target12%

Emersonn

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target11%

Julián Vignolo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

Y. Gboho

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Metz

G. Kvilitaia

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Diallo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

G. Hein

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target7%

G. Abuashvili

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

K. Kouao

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Toulouse xG (home)1.31

Metz xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

42.24% Possession 48.94%

Team Comparison Toulouse vs Metz

80.55% Pass accuracy 85.24%

374 Passes per match 451.74

0.07 Goals prevented 0.07

14.36 Fouls committed 11.38

2.58 Goalkeeper saves 3.62

1.33 Offsides 1.5

16.36 Tackles per match 16.71

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Toulouse vs Metz prediction analysis

Review Toulouse vs Metz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights