What markets are included in the Toulouse vs Nantes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Toulouse vs Nantes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Toulouse vs Nantes

Toulouse vs Nantes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-09-27 17:00

Toulouse

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Nantes

Away

Prediction Summary

47%

26%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Toulouse (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate41%

Nantes (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Toulouse

WWDLL

Nantes

LWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 47%

47% +1.5 18%

18% +2.5 0%

12% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

41% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Toulouse averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Nantes averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

47%

Draw

26%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Toulouse 2 - 2 Nantes Draw

Apr 2025 Toulouse(A) 0 - 0 Nantes Draw

Aug 2024 Toulouse 0 - 0 Nantes Draw

Feb 2024 Toulouse 1 - 2 Nantes Away

Aug 2023 Toulouse(A) 2 - 1 Nantes Home

In the last 5 meetings, Toulouse won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Toulouse — unbeaten run (home)2

Toulouse — scoring streak (home)2

Nantes — winless run (away)8

Nantes — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Toulouse Win (1)47%

Draw (X)26%

Nantes Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 47%

47% +1.5 18%

18% +2.5 0%

12% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 53%

53% -1.5 82%

82% -2.5 100%

88% -3.5 100%

94% -4.5 100%

Toulouse vs Nantes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Toulouse — scored (home)1.47

Toulouse — conceded (home)1.41

Nantes — scored (away)0.65

Nantes — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Toulouse — BTTS matches (home)41%

Nantes — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.579%

Under 5.521%

Over 6.568%

Under 6.532%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.547%

Under 10.553%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Toulouse (home)

Corners for5.1

Corners against4.4

Nantes (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Toulouse

6 15 6 11 15

Nantes

11 13 14 15 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Toulouse (home)

For1.9

Nantes (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Toulouse — total shots (home)14.7

Nantes — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Toulouse — on target (home)4.8

Nantes — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Toulouse

Inside the box8.36

Outside the box4.48

Nantes

Inside the box7.3

Outside the box4

Player Shots Toulouse

P. Diop

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target13%

F. Magri

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target12%

Emersonn

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target11%

Julián Vignolo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

Y. Gboho

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Nantes

M. Abline

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target19%

I. Ganago

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target8%

M. Kaba

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

R. Cabella

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target18%

Y. El-Arabi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Toulouse xG (home)1.31

Nantes xG (away)1.1

Average Possession

42.24% Possession 42.03%

Team Comparison Toulouse vs Nantes

80.55% Pass accuracy 77.85%

374 Passes per match 349.06

0.07 Goals prevented 0.1

14.36 Fouls committed 12.76

2.58 Goalkeeper saves 3.27

1.33 Offsides 1.31

16.36 Tackles per match 17.21

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Toulouse vs Nantes prediction analysis

Review Toulouse vs Nantes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights