What markets are included in the Toulouse vs Rennes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Toulouse vs Rennes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Toulouse vs Rennes

Toulouse vs Rennes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-05-03 17:00

Toulouse

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Rennes

Away

Prediction Summary

38%

25%

37%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Toulouse (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate71%

Rennes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.53

Goals conceded / match1.94

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Toulouse

WDWDL

Rennes

LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 76%

29% +1.5 41%

0% +2.5 18%

0% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 6%

71% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Toulouse averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Rennes averages 1.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

38%

Draw

25%

Away Win

37%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Toulouse(A) 0 - 1 Rennes Away

Oct 2025 Toulouse 2 - 2 Rennes Draw

May 2025 Toulouse 2 - 1 Rennes Home

Nov 2024 Toulouse(A) 2 - 0 Rennes Home

Apr 2024 Toulouse(A) 2 - 1 Rennes Home

In the last 5 meetings, Toulouse won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Toulouse — unbeaten run (home)2

Toulouse — scoring streak (home)5

Rennes — winless run (away)3

Rennes — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Toulouse Win (1)38%

Draw (X)25%

Rennes Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 76%

29% +1.5 41%

0% +2.5 18%

0% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 24%

71% -1.5 59%

100% -2.5 82%

100% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 94%

Toulouse vs Rennes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Toulouse — scored (home)1.18

Toulouse — conceded (home)1.29

Rennes — scored (away)1.53

Rennes — conceded (away)1.94

Model expected combined goals2.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%

No41%

Rate per Team

Toulouse — BTTS matches (home)71%

Rennes — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.559%

Under 7.541%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Toulouse (home)

Corners for5.2

Corners against3.2

Rennes (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Toulouse

9 8 11 3 13

Rennes

12 9 11 6 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Toulouse (home)

For1.6

Rennes (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Toulouse — total shots (home)12.3

Rennes — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Toulouse — on target (home)4.8

Rennes — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Toulouse

Inside the box8.88

Outside the box2.97

Rennes

Inside the box8.38

Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Toulouse

W. Kamanzi

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target4%

+1.5 On Target4%

G. Suazo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Z. Aboukhlal

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target23%

N. Edjouma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Y. Gboho

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Rennes

A. Kalimuendo

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target21%

Mousa Tamari

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Jacquet

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Rouault

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Gouiri

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Toulouse xG (home)1.46

Rennes xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

44.74% Possession 51.12%

Team Comparison Toulouse vs Rennes

80.18% Pass accuracy 84.12%

396.94 Passes per match 456.29

-0.09 Goals prevented -0.02

12.97 Fouls committed 13.09

2 Goalkeeper saves 2.65

1.77 Offsides 1.41

17.82 Tackles per match 17.59

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Toulouse vs Rennes prediction analysis

Review Toulouse vs Rennes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights