Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Toulouse vs Strasbourg

Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-01-12 16:15
Toulouse
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Strasbourg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
23%
2
28%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Toulouse (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate71%

Strasbourg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Toulouse
WDWDL
Strasbourg
LLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 82%
29% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Toulouse averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Strasbourg averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
23%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Toulouse(A) 2 - 1 Strasbourg Home
Dec 2025 Toulouse 1 - 0 Strasbourg Home
Mar 2025 Toulouse(A) 1 - 2 Strasbourg Away
Jan 2025 Toulouse 1 - 2 Strasbourg Away
Apr 2024 Toulouse 0 - 0 Strasbourg Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Toulouse won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Toulouse — unbeaten run (home)2
Toulouse — scoring streak (home)5
Strasbourg — winless run (away)2
Strasbourg — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Toulouse Win (1)49%
Draw (X)23%
Strasbourg Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 82%
29% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 18%
71% -1.5 65%
100% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Toulouse vs Strasbourg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Toulouse — scored (home)1.18
Toulouse — conceded (home)1.29
Strasbourg — scored (away)1.35
Strasbourg — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals3.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Toulouse — BTTS matches (home)71%
Strasbourg — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.576%
Under 5.524%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Toulouse (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against3.2

Strasbourg (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Toulouse
9 8 11 3 13
Strasbourg
5 13 8 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Toulouse (home)

For1.6

Strasbourg (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Toulouse — total shots (home)12.3
Strasbourg — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Toulouse — on target (home)4.8
Strasbourg — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Toulouse

Inside the box8.88
Outside the box2.97

Strasbourg

Inside the box7.44
Outside the box3.06

Player Shots Toulouse

W. Kamanzi
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
G. Suazo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
Z. Aboukhlal
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target23%
N. Edjouma
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
Y. Gboho
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Strasbourg

E. Emegha
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Mara
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Amo-Ameyaw
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
Diego Moreira
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Bakwa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Toulouse xG (home)1.46
Strasbourg xG (away)1.42

Average Possession

44.74% Possession 50.15%

Team Comparison Toulouse vs Strasbourg

80.18% Pass accuracy 85.56%
396.94 Passes per match 477.26
-0.09 Goals prevented 0.01
12.97 Fouls committed 11.56
2 Goalkeeper saves 3.74
1.77 Offsides 1.5
17.82 Tackles per match 15.79

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction analysis

Review Toulouse vs Strasbourg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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