Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir

Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2026-08-23 17:00
Trabzonspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Başakşehir
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
26%
2
34%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Trabzonspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate65%

Başakşehir (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Trabzonspor
LWDLD
Başakşehir
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 76%
47% +1.5 47%
24% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.

Trabzonspor averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while Başakşehir averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
26%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Trabzonspor 1 - 1 Başakşehir Draw
Mar 2026 Trabzonspor(A) 4 - 2 Başakşehir Home
Nov 2025 Trabzonspor(A) 4 - 3 Başakşehir Home
Mar 2025 Trabzonspor(A) 3 - 0 Başakşehir Home
Oct 2024 Trabzonspor 1 - 0 Başakşehir Home

In the last 5 meetings, Trabzonspor won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Trabzonspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Trabzonspor — scoring streak (home)0
Başakşehir — winless run (away)0
Başakşehir — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Trabzonspor Win (1)40%
Draw (X)26%
Başakşehir Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 76%
47% +1.5 47%
24% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 24%
53% -1.5 53%
76% -2.5 82%
94% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Trabzonspor — scored (home)1.71
Trabzonspor — conceded (home)1.06
Başakşehir — scored (away)1.47
Başakşehir — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Trabzonspor — BTTS matches (home)65%
Başakşehir — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Trabzonspor (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.9

Başakşehir (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Trabzonspor
13 12 7 9 8
Başakşehir
13 8 12 7 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Trabzonspor (home)

For1.9

Başakşehir (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.73

Trabzonspor

Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.16
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.72

Başakşehir

Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.555%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.57
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.87

Shots per Game

Trabzonspor — total shots (home)15.9
Başakşehir — total shots (away)13.6

Shots on Target

Trabzonspor — on target (home)5.4
Başakşehir — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Trabzonspor

Inside the box9.15
Outside the box5.76

Başakşehir

Inside the box9.41
Outside the box4.09

Player Shots Trabzonspor

P. Onuachu
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target43%
E. Muçi
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target31%
Felipe Augusto
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Zubkov
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Olaigbe
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Başakşehir

E. Shomurodov
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target41%
Y. Sarı
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Selke
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Fayzullaev
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Yıldırım
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Trabzonspor xG (home)1.48
Başakşehir xG (away)1.58

Average Possession

54.76% Possession 54.44%

Team Comparison Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir

85.32% Pass accuracy 83.5%
444.41 Passes per match 435.29
-0.1 Goals prevented 0.06
12.12 Fouls committed 13.35
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.12
1.76 Offsides 1.36
15.41 Tackles per match 12.82

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir prediction analysis

Review Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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