Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor

Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-10-03 17:00
Trabzonspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
26%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Kayserispor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
33%
2
27%
Under 2.5
74%
BTTS No
67%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Trabzonspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate65%

Kayserispor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Trabzonspor
LWDLD
Kayserispor
WLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 59%
47% +1.5 12%
24% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 26%. Model confidence is High.

Trabzonspor averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while Kayserispor averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
33%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS Yes
33%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Trabzonspor(A) 3 - 1 Kayserispor Home
Oct 2025 Trabzonspor 4 - 0 Kayserispor Home
Feb 2025 Trabzonspor(A) 0 - 0 Kayserispor Draw
Sep 2024 Trabzonspor 2 - 2 Kayserispor Draw
Apr 2024 Trabzonspor(A) 2 - 1 Kayserispor Home

In the last 5 meetings, Trabzonspor won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Trabzonspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Trabzonspor — scoring streak (home)0
Kayserispor — winless run (away)10
Kayserispor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Trabzonspor Win (1)40%
Draw (X)33%
Kayserispor Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 59%
47% +1.5 12%
24% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 41%
53% -1.5 88%
76% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Trabzonspor — scored (home)1.71
Trabzonspor — conceded (home)1.06
Kayserispor — scored (away)0.71
Kayserispor — conceded (away)1.76
Model expected combined goals1.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes33%
No67%

Rate per Team

Trabzonspor — BTTS matches (home)65%
Kayserispor — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Trabzonspor (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.9

Kayserispor (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Trabzonspor
13 12 7 9 8
Kayserispor
8 14 12 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Trabzonspor (home)

For1.9

Kayserispor (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Trabzonspor — total shots (home)15.9
Kayserispor — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Trabzonspor — on target (home)5.4
Kayserispor — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Trabzonspor

Inside the box9.15
Outside the box5.76

Kayserispor

Inside the box7.06
Outside the box5.32

Player Shots Trabzonspor

P. Onuachu
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target43%
E. Muçi
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target31%
Felipe Augusto
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Zubkov
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Olaigbe
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Kayserispor

D. Makarov
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
L. Bénes
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
G. Onugkha
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target19%
Miguel Cardoso
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
I. Tuci
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Trabzonspor xG (home)1.48
Kayserispor xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

54.76% Possession 47%

Team Comparison Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor

85.32% Pass accuracy 79.35%
444.41 Passes per match 361.85
-0.1 Goals prevented 0.11
12.12 Fouls committed 13.12
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
1.76 Offsides 2.29
15.41 Tackles per match 13.35

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor prediction analysis

Review Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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