Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor

Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-08-31 18:30
Trabzonspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Samsunspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
24%
2
28%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Trabzonspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate65%

Samsunspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Trabzonspor
LWDLD
Samsunspor
WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 82%
47% +1.5 41%
24% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Trabzonspor averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while Samsunspor averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
24%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Trabzonspor(A) 0 - 0 Samsunspor Draw
Feb 2026 Trabzonspor(A) 3 - 0 Samsunspor Home
Aug 2025 Trabzonspor 1 - 1 Samsunspor Draw
May 2025 Trabzonspor 2 - 2 Samsunspor Draw
Jan 2025 Trabzonspor(A) 1 - 2 Samsunspor Away

In the last 5 meetings, Trabzonspor won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Trabzonspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Trabzonspor — scoring streak (home)0
Samsunspor — winless run (away)1
Samsunspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Trabzonspor Win (1)48%
Draw (X)24%
Samsunspor Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 82%
47% +1.5 41%
24% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 18%
53% -1.5 59%
76% -2.5 82%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Trabzonspor — scored (home)1.71
Trabzonspor — conceded (home)1.06
Samsunspor — scored (away)1.41
Samsunspor — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.91

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Trabzonspor — BTTS matches (home)65%
Samsunspor — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)68%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Trabzonspor (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.9

Samsunspor (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Trabzonspor
13 12 7 9 8
Samsunspor
8 17 9 7 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Trabzonspor (home)

For1.9

Samsunspor (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Trabzonspor — total shots (home)15.9
Samsunspor — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Trabzonspor — on target (home)5.4
Samsunspor — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Trabzonspor

Inside the box9.15
Outside the box5.76

Samsunspor

Inside the box8.21
Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Trabzonspor

P. Onuachu
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target43%
E. Muçi
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target31%
Felipe Augusto
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Zubkov
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Olaigbe
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Samsunspor

M. Mouandilmadji
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
C. Holse
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target26%
A. Musaba
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Tavşan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Marius
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Trabzonspor xG (home)1.48
Samsunspor xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

54.76% Possession 54.29%

Team Comparison Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor

85.32% Pass accuracy 82.71%
444.41 Passes per match 436.06
-0.1 Goals prevented -0.18
12.12 Fouls committed 14.91
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 2.36
1.76 Offsides 2
15.41 Tackles per match 15.85

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor prediction analysis

Review Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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