Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: TSV 1860 München vs Verl

TSV 1860 München vs Verl prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-12-20 15:30
TSV 1860 München
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
75%
Confidence
High
Score
1-1
Verl
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
21%
2
38%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
74%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

TSV 1860 München (Home)

Goals scored / match1.79
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate74%

Verl (Away)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

TSV 1860 München
LLDWD
Verl
WLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 79%
58% +1.5 53%
32% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 5%
74% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 75%. Model confidence is High.

TSV 1860 München averages 1.79 goals scored at home, while Verl averages 1.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
21%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
74%

Head-to-Head last 2

May 2026 TSV 1860 München(A) 0 - 3 Verl Away
Dec 2025 TSV 1860 München 0 - 2 Verl Away

In the last 2 meetings, TSV 1860 München won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

TSV 1860 München — unbeaten run (home)0
TSV 1860 München — scoring streak (home)4
Verl — winless run (away)4
Verl — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

TSV 1860 München Win (1)41%
Draw (X)21%
Verl Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 79%
58% +1.5 53%
32% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 21%
42% -1.5 47%
68% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 84%
100% -4.5 95%

TSV 1860 München vs Verl — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

TSV 1860 München — scored (home)1.79
TSV 1860 München — conceded (home)1.37
Verl — scored (away)1.68
Verl — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals3.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes74%
No26%

Rate per Team

TSV 1860 München — BTTS matches (home)74%
Verl — BTTS matches (away)74%
Combined (simple average)74%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.581%
Under 4.519%
Over 5.578%
Under 5.522%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

TSV 1860 München (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.9

Verl (away)

Corners for6.2
Corners against3.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

TSV 1860 München
13 10 0 0 0
Verl
4 10 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.578%
Under 2.522%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

TSV 1860 München (home)

For1.7

Verl (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

TSV 1860 München — total shots (home)12.3
Verl — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

TSV 1860 München — on target (home)5.2
Verl — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

TSV 1860 München

Inside the box8.19
Outside the box3

Verl

Inside the box9.11
Outside the box5.89

Player Shots TSV 1860 München

S. Haugen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target43%
K. Volland
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target10%
F. Niederlechner
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Hobsch
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Wolfram
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Verl

A. Besio
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target41%
B. Taz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target40%
J. Arweiler
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Mhamdi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Gayret
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

TSV 1860 München xG (home)1.76
Verl xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

46.88% Possession 65.93%

Team Comparison TSV 1860 München vs Verl

78.96% Pass accuracy 86.85%
402.15 Passes per match 594
0 Goals prevented 0
12.35 Fouls committed 9.63
3.69 Goalkeeper saves 2.67
2.62 Offsides 2.33
3.38 Tackles per match 2.4

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

TSV 1860 München vs Verl prediction analysis

Review TSV 1860 München vs Verl with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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