Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: TSV Hartberg vs Ried

TSV Hartberg vs Ried prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-11-22 16:00
TSV Hartberg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Ried
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
24%
2
41%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

TSV Hartberg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.19
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%

Ried (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

TSV Hartberg
WLLLW
Ried
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 59%
44% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

TSV Hartberg averages 1.19 goals scored at home, while Ried averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
24%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 TSV Hartberg 2 - 0 Ried Home
Sep 2025 TSV Hartberg(A) 2 - 0 Ried Home
May 2023 TSV Hartberg 2 - 0 Ried Home
Apr 2023 TSV Hartberg(A) 3 - 1 Ried Home
Feb 2023 TSV Hartberg(A) 1 - 0 Ried Home

In the last 5 meetings, TSV Hartberg won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

TSV Hartberg — unbeaten run (home)0
TSV Hartberg — scoring streak (home)4
Ried — winless run (away)9
Ried — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

TSV Hartberg Win (1)35%
Draw (X)24%
Ried Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 59%
44% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 41%
56% -1.5 65%
100% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

TSV Hartberg vs Ried — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

TSV Hartberg — scored (home)1.19
TSV Hartberg — conceded (home)1.56
Ried — scored (away)1
Ried — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals3.04

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

TSV Hartberg — BTTS matches (home)63%
Ried — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.579%
Under 5.521%
Over 6.567%
Under 6.533%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.549%
Under 8.551%
Over 9.524%
Under 9.576%
Over 10.515%
Under 10.585%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

TSV Hartberg (home)

Corners for3.4
Corners against4.4

Ried (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

TSV Hartberg
12 8 8 9 15
Ried
12 8 6 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

TSV Hartberg (home)

For2.2

Ried (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

TSV Hartberg — total shots (home)9.8
Ried — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

TSV Hartberg — on target (home)3.6
Ried — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

TSV Hartberg

Inside the box5.5
Outside the box3.66

Ried

Inside the box7.83
Outside the box4.09

Player Shots TSV Hartberg

E. Havel
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Heil
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target4%
D. Korherr
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Hoffmann
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Drew
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Ried

K. Mutandwa
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target28%
M. Große
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Van Wyk
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Kiedl
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Bajić
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

TSV Hartberg xG (home)0.87
Ried xG (away)1.36

Average Possession

38.94% Possession 49.26%

Team Comparison TSV Hartberg vs Ried

72.47% Pass accuracy 73.34%
321.31 Passes per match 332.09
0.17 Goals prevented -0
10.94 Fouls committed 11.74
2.81 Goalkeeper saves 2.91
1.16 Offsides 2.45
15.94 Tackles per match 14.54

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

TSV Hartberg vs Ried prediction analysis

Review TSV Hartberg vs Ried with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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