What markets are included in the Twente vs AZ Alkmaar prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Twente vs AZ Alkmaar prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Twente vs AZ Alkmaar

Twente vs AZ Alkmaar prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-11-30 15:45

Twente

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

AZ Alkmaar

Away

Prediction Summary

33%

25%

43%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Twente (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71

Goals conceded / match0.94

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate47%

AZ Alkmaar (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Twente

LWDDW

AZ Alkmaar

DDDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 76%

59% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Twente averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while AZ Alkmaar averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

33%

Draw

25%

Away Win

43%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Twente(A) 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar Draw

Feb 2026 Twente(A) 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar Away

Nov 2025 Twente 1 - 0 AZ Alkmaar Home

May 2025 Twente(A) 2 - 3 AZ Alkmaar Away

May 2025 Twente 2 - 3 AZ Alkmaar Away

In the last 5 meetings, Twente won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Twente — unbeaten run (home)3

Twente — scoring streak (home)3

AZ Alkmaar — winless run (away)5

AZ Alkmaar — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Twente Win (1)33%

Draw (X)25%

AZ Alkmaar Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 76%

59% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 24%

41% -1.5 71%

82% -2.5 94%

88% -3.5 100%

94% -4.5 100%

Twente vs AZ Alkmaar — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Twente — scored (home)1.71

Twente — conceded (home)0.94

AZ Alkmaar — scored (away)1.12

AZ Alkmaar — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.87

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Twente — BTTS matches (home)47%

AZ Alkmaar — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Twente (home)

Corners for5.7

Corners against3.5

AZ Alkmaar (away)

Corners for5.6

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Twente

8 12 7 11 20

AZ Alkmaar

12 15 7 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.568%

Under 2.532%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Twente (home)

For1.1

AZ Alkmaar (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Twente — total shots (home)19.0

AZ Alkmaar — total shots (away)15.4

Shots on Target

Twente — on target (home)7.1

AZ Alkmaar — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Twente

Inside the box11.68

Outside the box6.12

AZ Alkmaar

Inside the box10.35

Outside the box5.41

Player Shots Twente

K. Hlynsson

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target24%

S. Lammers

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target28%

D. Rots

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target18%

S. Ørjasæter

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target13%

R. van Wolfswinkel

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots AZ Alkmaar

T. Parrott

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target43%

S. Mijnans

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target33%

M. Meerdink

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target21%

Weslley Patati

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

I. Sadiq

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Twente xG (home)1.93

AZ Alkmaar xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

54.12% Possession 53.18%

Team Comparison Twente vs AZ Alkmaar

80.29% Pass accuracy 81.85%

464.38 Passes per match 457.76

0.04 Goals prevented -0.09

10.68 Fouls committed 10.21

2.41 Goalkeeper saves 3.06

1 Offsides 1.22

17.18 Tackles per match 17.85

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Twente vs AZ Alkmaar prediction analysis

Review Twente vs AZ Alkmaar with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights