Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Twente vs Beşiktaş

Twente vs Beşiktaş prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-01-30 20:00
Twente
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Beşiktaş
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
26%
2
37%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Twente (Home)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

Beşiktaş (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Twente
LWWWD
Beşiktaş
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 60%
20% +1.5 20%
0% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Twente averages 0.8 goals scored at home, while Beşiktaş averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
26%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jan 2025 Twente 1 - 0 Beşiktaş Home

In the last 1 meetings, Twente won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Twente — unbeaten run (home)2
Twente — scoring streak (home)2
Beşiktaş — winless run (away)2
Beşiktaş — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Twente Win (1)37%
Draw (X)26%
Beşiktaş Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 60%
20% +1.5 20%
0% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 40%
80% -1.5 80%
100% -2.5 80%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Twente vs Beşiktaş — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Twente — scored (home)0.8
Twente — conceded (home)1
Beşiktaş — scored (away)1
Beşiktaş — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Twente — BTTS matches (home)40%
Beşiktaş — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)40%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.580%
Under 4.520%
Over 5.580%
Under 5.520%
Over 6.560%
Under 6.540%
Over 7.560%
Under 7.540%
Over 8.540%
Under 8.560%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Twente (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.0

Beşiktaş (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against8.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Twente
9 16 16 3 13
Beşiktaş
5 9 17 5 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Twente (home)

For2.4

Beşiktaş (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Twente — total shots (home)14.0
Beşiktaş — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

Twente — on target (home)4.6
Beşiktaş — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Twente

Inside the box8.4
Outside the box3.1

Beşiktaş

Inside the box8.13
Outside the box4.75

Player Shots Twente

M. Vlap
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. van Bergen
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. van Wolfswinkel
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Lammers
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
D. Rots
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Beşiktaş

M. Rashica
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Kılıçsoy
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Masuaku
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target29%
Rafa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Uçan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Twente xG (home)1.28
Beşiktaş xG (away)1.62

Average Possession

45.4% Possession 51.56%

Team Comparison Twente vs Beşiktaş

79.3% Pass accuracy 82.75%
420 Passes per match 481.38
0.05 Goals prevented 0.33
12 Fouls committed 11.11
3.4 Goalkeeper saves 4.11
1.4 Offsides 1.25
23.6 Tackles per match 19.63

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Twente vs Beşiktaş prediction analysis

Review Twente vs Beşiktaş with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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