Prediction Analysis: Twente vs PEC Zwolle
Twente vs PEC Zwolle prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Eredivisie
2026-08-16
12:30
Twente
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
67%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
PEC Zwolle
Away
Prediction Summary
1
64%
X
19%
2
17%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Twente (Home)
Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%
PEC Zwolle (Away)
Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match2.94
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate88%
Team Form last 5 matches
Twente
LWDDW
PEC Zwolle
LLWLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
76%
+0.5
94%
59%
+1.5
41%
18%
+2.5
0%
12%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
88%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.
Twente averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while PEC Zwolle averages 1.35 goals scored away.
Model Strength
67%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
64%
Draw
19%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
62%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
Twente
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Draw
Aug 2025
Twente(A)
0 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Away
Apr 2025
Twente(A)
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Draw
Sep 2024
Twente
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Draw
May 2024
Twente(A)
2 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Twente won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Twente — unbeaten run (home)3
Twente — scoring streak (home)3
PEC Zwolle — winless run (away)16
PEC Zwolle — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Twente Win (1)64%
Draw (X)19%
PEC Zwolle Win (2)17%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
76%
+0.5
94%
59%
+1.5
41%
18%
+2.5
0%
12%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
24%
-0.5
6%
41%
-1.5
59%
82%
-2.5
100%
88%
-3.5
100%
94%
-4.5
100%
Twente vs PEC Zwolle — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Twente — scored (home)1.71
Twente — conceded (home)0.94
PEC Zwolle — scored (away)1.35
PEC Zwolle — conceded (away)2.94
Model expected combined goals3.47
Both Teams To Score
Yes62%
No38%
Rate per Team
Twente — BTTS matches (home)47%
PEC Zwolle — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)67.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Twente (home)
Corners for5.7
Corners against3.5
PEC Zwolle (away)
Corners for3.1
Corners against6.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Twente
8
12
7
11
20
PEC Zwolle
7
8
6
11
14
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.559%
Under 2.541%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3
Yellow Cards per Team
Twente (home)
For1.1
PEC Zwolle (away)
For1.7
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.554%
Under 25.546%
Expected total shots27.52
Twente
Shots Over 9.588%
Shots Over 11.579%
Shots Over 13.567%
Expected shots17.14
On Target Over 3.580%
On Target Over 4.568%
On Target Over 5.555%
Expected on target6.27
PEC Zwolle
Shots Over 9.553%
Shots Over 11.536%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.38
On Target Over 3.549%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.76
Shots per Game
Twente — total shots (home)19.0
PEC Zwolle — total shots (away)9.4
Shots on Target
Twente — on target (home)7.1
PEC Zwolle — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Twente
Inside the box11.68
Outside the box6.12
PEC Zwolle
Inside the box6.12
Outside the box3.53
Player Shots Twente
K. Hlynsson
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target24%
S. Lammers
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target28%
D. Rots
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Ørjasæter
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. van Wolfswinkel
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target23%
Player Shots PEC Zwolle
K. Kostons
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target26%
Y. Namli
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
T. Oosting
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
O. Velanas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Shoretire
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target4%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Twente xG (home)1.93
PEC Zwolle xG (away)1.19
Average Possession
54.12%
Possession
44.94%
Team Comparison Twente vs PEC Zwolle
80.29%
Pass accuracy
77.53%
464.38
Passes per match
379.68
0.04
Goals prevented
-0.25
10.68
Fouls committed
11.53
2.41
Goalkeeper saves
4.09
1
Offsides
1.74
17.18
Tackles per match
17.29
League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Twente vs PEC Zwolle prediction analysis
Review Twente vs PEC Zwolle with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights