Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: U. Catolica vs Cobresal

U. Catolica vs Cobresal prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primera División 2025-08-30 21:30
U. Catolica
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Cobresal
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
25%
2
22%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

U. Catolica (Home)

Goals scored / match1.73
Goals conceded / match0.87
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate40%

Cobresal (Away)

Goals scored / match0.93
Goals conceded / match1.6
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

U. Catolica
WDWWL
Cobresal
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 73%
53% +1.5 20%
13% +2.5 0%
7% +3.5 0%
7% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

U. Catolica averages 1.73 goals scored at home, while Cobresal averages 0.93 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
25%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 U. Catolica 2 - 1 Cobresal Home
Apr 2025 U. Catolica(A) 1 - 1 Cobresal Draw

In the last 2 meetings, U. Catolica won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

U. Catolica — unbeaten run (home)2
U. Catolica — scoring streak (home)2
Cobresal — winless run (away)2
Cobresal — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

U. Catolica Win (1)53%
Draw (X)25%
Cobresal Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 73%
53% +1.5 20%
13% +2.5 0%
7% +3.5 0%
7% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 27%
47% -1.5 80%
87% -2.5 100%
93% -3.5 100%
93% -4.5 100%

U. Catolica vs Cobresal — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

U. Catolica — scored (home)1.73
U. Catolica — conceded (home)0.87
Cobresal — scored (away)0.93
Cobresal — conceded (away)1.6
Model expected combined goals2.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

U. Catolica — BTTS matches (home)40%
Cobresal — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)43.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

U. Catolica (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against3.7

Cobresal (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

U. Catolica
10 13 14 10 11
Cobresal
8 14 12 12 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

U. Catolica (home)

For2.9

Cobresal (away)

For3.6

Shots per Game

U. Catolica — total shots (home)13.0
Cobresal — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

U. Catolica — on target (home)4.5
Cobresal — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

U. Catolica

Inside the box7.63
Outside the box4.27

Cobresal

Inside the box6.53
Outside the box7.87

Player Shots U. Catolica

F. Zampedri
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target32%
C. Montes
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target21%
V. Carcamo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
E. Bello
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Cobresal

J. Henríquez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Coelho
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target36%
C. Munder
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. Gaete
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Ramirez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

U. Catolica xG (home)1.22
Cobresal xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

54.2% Possession 45.7%

Team Comparison U. Catolica vs Cobresal

80.53% Pass accuracy 78.9%
398.13 Passes per match 360.23
0 Goals prevented 0
13.4 Fouls committed 10.8
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.93
1.53 Offsides 2.24
14.33 Tackles per match 14.8

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

U. Catolica vs Cobresal prediction analysis

Review U. Catolica vs Cobresal with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top