Prediction Analysis: U. Catolica vs Deportes Iquique
U. Catolica vs Deportes Iquique prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera División
2025-03-01
21:00
U. Catolica
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Deportes Iquique
Away
Prediction Summary
1
60%
X
22%
2
18%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
U. Catolica (Home)
Goals scored / match1.73
Goals conceded / match0.87
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate40%
Deportes Iquique (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2.07
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%
Team Form last 5 matches
U. Catolica
WDWWL
Deportes Iquique
LWWWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
87%
+0.5
73%
53%
+1.5
27%
13%
+2.5
0%
7%
+3.5
0%
7%
+4.5
0%
40%
BTTS
67%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.
U. Catolica averages 1.73 goals scored at home, while Deportes Iquique averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
60%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
60%
Draw
22%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 2
Aug 2025
U. Catolica(A)
2 - 2
Deportes Iquique
Draw
Mar 2025
U. Catolica
1 - 0
Deportes Iquique
Home
In the last 2 meetings, U. Catolica won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
U. Catolica — unbeaten run (home)2
U. Catolica — scoring streak (home)2
Deportes Iquique — winless run (away)0
Deportes Iquique — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
U. Catolica Win (1)60%
Draw (X)22%
Deportes Iquique Win (2)18%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
87%
+0.5
73%
53%
+1.5
27%
13%
+2.5
0%
7%
+3.5
0%
7%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
13%
-0.5
27%
47%
-1.5
73%
87%
-2.5
100%
93%
-3.5
100%
93%
-4.5
100%
U. Catolica vs Deportes Iquique — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
U. Catolica — scored (home)1.73
U. Catolica — conceded (home)0.87
Deportes Iquique — scored (away)1
Deportes Iquique — conceded (away)2.07
Model expected combined goals2.83
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
U. Catolica — BTTS matches (home)40%
Deportes Iquique — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)53.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.573%
Under 6.527%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
U. Catolica (home)
Corners for5.2
Corners against3.7
Deportes Iquique (away)
Corners for3.1
Corners against6.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
U. Catolica
10
13
14
10
11
Deportes Iquique
3
7
12
14
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9
Yellow Cards per Team
U. Catolica (home)
For2.9
Deportes Iquique (away)
For3.6
Shots per Game
U. Catolica — total shots (home)13.0
Deportes Iquique — total shots (away)11.1
Shots on Target
U. Catolica — on target (home)4.5
Deportes Iquique — on target (away)3.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
U. Catolica
Inside the box7.63
Outside the box4.27
Deportes Iquique
Inside the box7.87
Outside the box4.7
Player Shots U. Catolica
F. Zampedri
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target32%
C. Montes
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target21%
V. Carcamo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
E. Bello
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%
Player Shots Deportes Iquique
Á. Ramos
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
E. Puch
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Venezia
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Pino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Dávila
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
U. Catolica xG (home)1.22
Deportes Iquique xG (away)1.27
Average Possession
54.2%
Possession
44.77%
Team Comparison U. Catolica vs Deportes Iquique
80.53%
Pass accuracy
72.67%
398.13
Passes per match
327.83
0
Goals prevented
0
13.4
Fouls committed
11.03
2.47
Goalkeeper saves
3.5
1.53
Offsides
2.4
14.33
Tackles per match
14.87
League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
U. Catolica vs Deportes Iquique prediction analysis
Review U. Catolica vs Deportes Iquique with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights