Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: U. Catolica vs Union Espanola

U. Catolica vs Union Espanola prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-08-24 00:00
U. Catolica
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Union Espanola
Away

Prediction Summary

1
64%
X
20%
2
15%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

U. Catolica (Home)

Goals scored / match1.73
Goals conceded / match0.87
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate40%

Union Espanola (Away)

Goals scored / match0.73
Goals conceded / match1.87
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

U. Catolica
WDWWL
Union Espanola
LLLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 40%
53% +1.5 20%
13% +2.5 7%
7% +3.5 7%
7% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

U. Catolica averages 1.73 goals scored at home, while Union Espanola averages 0.73 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
64%
Draw
20%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 U. Catolica 2 - 0 Union Espanola Home
Mar 2025 U. Catolica(A) 2 - 1 Union Espanola Home

In the last 2 meetings, U. Catolica won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

U. Catolica — unbeaten run (home)2
U. Catolica — scoring streak (home)2
Union Espanola — winless run (away)4
Union Espanola — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

U. Catolica Win (1)64%
Draw (X)20%
Union Espanola Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 40%
53% +1.5 20%
13% +2.5 7%
7% +3.5 7%
7% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 60%
47% -1.5 80%
87% -2.5 93%
93% -3.5 93%
93% -4.5 100%

U. Catolica vs Union Espanola — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

U. Catolica — scored (home)1.73
U. Catolica — conceded (home)0.87
Union Espanola — scored (away)0.73
Union Espanola — conceded (away)1.87
Model expected combined goals2.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

U. Catolica — BTTS matches (home)40%
Union Espanola — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)36.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

U. Catolica (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against3.7

Union Espanola (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

U. Catolica
10 13 14 10 11
Union Espanola
7 8 11 15 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6

Yellow Cards per Team

U. Catolica (home)

For2.9

Union Espanola (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

U. Catolica — total shots (home)13.0
Union Espanola — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

U. Catolica — on target (home)4.5
Union Espanola — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

U. Catolica

Inside the box7.63
Outside the box4.27

Union Espanola

Inside the box7.93
Outside the box6.13

Player Shots U. Catolica

F. Zampedri
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target32%
C. Montes
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target21%
V. Carcamo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
E. Bello
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Union Espanola

P. Aránguiz
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Suárez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Uribe
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Jeraldino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Marín
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

U. Catolica xG (home)1.22
Union Espanola xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

54.2% Possession 51.87%

Team Comparison U. Catolica vs Union Espanola

80.53% Pass accuracy 78.9%
398.13 Passes per match 401.97
0 Goals prevented 0
13.4 Fouls committed 10.67
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.2
1.53 Offsides 2.14
14.33 Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

U. Catolica vs Union Espanola prediction analysis

Review U. Catolica vs Union Espanola with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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