Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: U. Catolica vs Union La Calera

U. Catolica vs Union La Calera prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-12-06 21:00
U. Catolica
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Union La Calera
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
25%
2
17%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

U. Catolica (Home)

Goals scored / match1.73
Goals conceded / match0.87
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate40%

Union La Calera (Away)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

U. Catolica
WDWWL
Union La Calera
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 7%
13% +2.5 7%
7% +3.5 0%
7% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

U. Catolica averages 1.73 goals scored at home, while Union La Calera averages 0.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
25%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 2

Dec 2025 U. Catolica 2 - 1 Union La Calera Home
Jun 2025 U. Catolica(A) 1 - 1 Union La Calera Draw

In the last 2 meetings, U. Catolica won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

U. Catolica — unbeaten run (home)2
U. Catolica — scoring streak (home)2
Union La Calera — winless run (away)8
Union La Calera — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

U. Catolica Win (1)58%
Draw (X)25%
Union La Calera Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 7%
13% +2.5 7%
7% +3.5 0%
7% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 47%
47% -1.5 93%
87% -2.5 93%
93% -3.5 100%
93% -4.5 100%

U. Catolica vs Union La Calera — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

U. Catolica — scored (home)1.73
U. Catolica — conceded (home)0.87
Union La Calera — scored (away)0.67
Union La Calera — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.36

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

U. Catolica — BTTS matches (home)40%
Union La Calera — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)40%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

U. Catolica (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against3.7

Union La Calera (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

U. Catolica
10 13 14 10 11
Union La Calera
7 7 6 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

U. Catolica (home)

For2.9

Union La Calera (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

U. Catolica — total shots (home)13.0
Union La Calera — total shots (away)8.0

Shots on Target

U. Catolica — on target (home)4.5
Union La Calera — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

U. Catolica

Inside the box7.63
Outside the box4.27

Union La Calera

Inside the box5.57
Outside the box4.23

Player Shots U. Catolica

F. Zampedri
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target32%
C. Montes
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target21%
V. Carcamo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
E. Bello
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Union La Calera

S. Sáez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Benegas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ignacio Mesías
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Insaurralde
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Encinas
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

U. Catolica xG (home)1.22
Union La Calera xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

54.2% Possession 49.03%

Team Comparison U. Catolica vs Union La Calera

80.53% Pass accuracy 76.73%
398.13 Passes per match 383.4
0 Goals prevented 0
13.4 Fouls committed 11.5
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.76
1.53 Offsides 1.74
14.33 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

U. Catolica vs Union La Calera prediction analysis

Review U. Catolica vs Union La Calera with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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