Prediction Analysis: U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile
U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera División
2025-10-26
15:30
U. Catolica
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Universidad de Chile
Away
Prediction Summary
1
50%
X
25%
2
25%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
U. Catolica (Home)
Goals scored / match1.73
Goals conceded / match0.87
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate40%
Universidad de Chile (Away)
Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%
Team Form last 5 matches
U. Catolica
WDWWL
Universidad de Chile
WDWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
87%
+0.5
60%
53%
+1.5
33%
13%
+2.5
20%
7%
+3.5
7%
7%
+4.5
0%
40%
BTTS
40%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.
U. Catolica averages 1.73 goals scored at home, while Universidad de Chile averages 1.2 goals scored away.
Model Strength
52%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
50%
Draw
25%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 2
Oct 2025
U. Catolica
1 - 0
Universidad de Chile
Home
May 2025
U. Catolica(A)
0 - 1
Universidad de Chile
Away
In the last 2 meetings, U. Catolica won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
U. Catolica — unbeaten run (home)2
U. Catolica — scoring streak (home)2
Universidad de Chile — winless run (away)0
Universidad de Chile — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
U. Catolica Win (1)50%
Draw (X)25%
Universidad de Chile Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
87%
+0.5
60%
53%
+1.5
33%
13%
+2.5
20%
7%
+3.5
7%
7%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
13%
-0.5
40%
47%
-1.5
67%
87%
-2.5
80%
93%
-3.5
93%
93%
-4.5
100%
U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
U. Catolica — scored (home)1.73
U. Catolica — conceded (home)0.87
Universidad de Chile — scored (away)1.2
Universidad de Chile — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2.64
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
U. Catolica — BTTS matches (home)40%
Universidad de Chile — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)40%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.584%
Under 4.516%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.573%
Under 6.527%
Over 7.560%
Under 7.540%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
U. Catolica (home)
Corners for5.2
Corners against3.7
Universidad de Chile (away)
Corners for5.1
Corners against3.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
U. Catolica
10
13
14
10
11
Universidad de Chile
7
12
13
12
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6
Yellow Cards per Team
U. Catolica (home)
For2.9
Universidad de Chile (away)
For2.8
Shots per Game
U. Catolica — total shots (home)13.0
Universidad de Chile — total shots (away)14.7
Shots on Target
U. Catolica — on target (home)4.5
Universidad de Chile — on target (away)4.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
U. Catolica
Inside the box7.63
Outside the box4.27
Universidad de Chile
Inside the box10.23
Outside the box6
Player Shots U. Catolica
F. Zampedri
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target32%
C. Montes
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target21%
V. Carcamo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
E. Bello
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%
Player Shots Universidad de Chile
L. Fernández
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Di Yorio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
N. Guerra
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
R. Contreras
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Assadi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
U. Catolica xG (home)1.22
Universidad de Chile xG (away)2.54
Average Possession
54.2%
Possession
58%
Team Comparison U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile
80.53%
Pass accuracy
80.47%
398.13
Passes per match
432.17
0
Goals prevented
0
13.4
Fouls committed
11.13
2.47
Goalkeeper saves
2.73
1.53
Offsides
1.37
14.33
Tackles per match
17.2
League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile prediction analysis
Review U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights