Prediction Analysis: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Liga MX
2026-08-16
18:00
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Club Queretaro
Away
Prediction Summary
1
54%
X
24%
2
23%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Home)
Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate62%
Club Queretaro (Away)
Goals scored / match0.76
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
WLLDW
Club Queretaro
LWDDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
86%
+0.5
53%
43%
+1.5
24%
24%
+2.5
0%
14%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
62%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while Club Queretaro averages 0.76 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
54%
Draw
24%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1 - 1
Club Queretaro
Draw
Jul 2025
U.N.A.M. - Pumas(A)
2 - 0
Club Queretaro
Home
Jan 2025
U.N.A.M. - Pumas(A)
2 - 3
Club Queretaro
Away
Nov 2024
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2 - 0
Club Queretaro
Home
Apr 2024
U.N.A.M. - Pumas(A)
1 - 1
Club Queretaro
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — unbeaten run (home)0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — scoring streak (home)0
Club Queretaro — winless run (away)0
Club Queretaro — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win (1)54%
Draw (X)24%
Club Queretaro Win (2)23%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
86%
+0.5
53%
43%
+1.5
24%
24%
+2.5
0%
14%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
14%
-0.5
47%
57%
-1.5
76%
76%
-2.5
100%
86%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — scored (home)1.67
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — conceded (home)1.29
Club Queretaro — scored (away)0.76
Club Queretaro — conceded (away)1.76
Model expected combined goals2.74
Both Teams To Score
Yes53%
No47%
Rate per Team
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — BTTS matches (home)62%
Club Queretaro — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)54.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
U.N.A.M. - Pumas (home)
Corners for4.5
Corners against5.2
Club Queretaro (away)
Corners for4.6
Corners against6.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
6
8
14
13
10
Club Queretaro
9
16
9
15
14
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9
Yellow Cards per Team
U.N.A.M. - Pumas (home)
For2.2
Club Queretaro (away)
For2.2
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.563%
Under 22.537%
Over 25.550%
Under 25.550%
Expected total shots26.36
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.567%
Shots Over 13.553%
Expected shots14.47
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.536%
Expected on target4.82
Club Queretaro
Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots11.89
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target3.96
Shots per Game
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — total shots (home)13.2
Club Queretaro — total shots (away)10.9
Shots on Target
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — on target (home)4.3
Club Queretaro — on target (away)3.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Inside the box7.32
Outside the box4.39
Club Queretaro
Inside the box6.38
Outside the box4.65
Player Shots U.N.A.M. - Pumas
R. Morales
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target28%
G. Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Ruvalcaba
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target26%
Á. Angulo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%
Rubén Duarte
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target3%
Player Shots Club Queretaro
A. Perez
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Homenchenko
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target24%
M. Coronel
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Julio
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Ávila
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target20%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG (home)1.46
Club Queretaro xG (away)1.32
Average Possession
50.41%
Possession
36.5%
Team Comparison U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro
82.77%
Pass accuracy
76.53%
416.46
Passes per match
287.94
-0.21
Goals prevented
-0.13
12.39
Fouls committed
12.88
3.51
Goalkeeper saves
3.32
1.65
Offsides
1.94
13.19
Tackles per match
16.37
League average xG this season is 1.32 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro prediction analysis
Review U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga MX.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Liga MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights