Prediction Analysis: UCD vs Derry City
UCD vs Derry City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
FAI Cup
2026-08-16
15:00
UCD
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Derry City
Away
Prediction Summary
1
31%
X
23%
2
45%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
UCD (Home)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Derry City (Away)
Goals scored / match5
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate100%
BTTS rate100%
Team Form last 5 matches
UCD
WL
Derry City
WDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
0%
+0.5
100%
0%
+1.5
100%
0%
+2.5
100%
0%
+3.5
100%
0%
+4.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.
UCD averages 0 goals scored at home, while Derry City averages 5 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
31%
Draw
23%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
Head-to-Head last 5
Sep 2023
UCD(A)
0 - 6
Derry City
Away
Sep 2023
UCD
0 - 5
Derry City
Away
May 2023
UCD(A)
1 - 4
Derry City
Away
Mar 2023
UCD
0 - 4
Derry City
Away
Sep 2022
UCD(A)
0 - 3
Derry City
Away
In the last 5 meetings, UCD won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.
Current Streaks
Derry City — winless run (away)0
Derry City — clean sheets (away, last 1)0 of 1
1X2 Probability model
UCD Win (1)31%
Draw (X)23%
Derry City Win (2)45%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
0%
+0.5
100%
0%
+1.5
100%
0%
+2.5
100%
0%
+3.5
100%
0%
+4.5
100%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
100%
-0.5
0%
100%
-1.5
0%
100%
-2.5
0%
100%
-3.5
0%
100%
-4.5
0%
UCD vs Derry City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
UCD — scored (home)0
UCD — conceded (home)0
Derry City — scored (away)5
Derry City — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals3.15
Both Teams To Score
Yes62%
No38%
Rate per Team
UCD — BTTS matches (home)0%
Derry City — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
UCD (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Derry City (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
UCD (home)
For—
Derry City (away)
For—
Shots per Game
UCD — total shots (home)—
Derry City — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
UCD — on target (home)—
Derry City — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
UCD
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Derry City
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison UCD vs Derry City
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
UCD vs Derry City prediction analysis
Review UCD vs Derry City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from FAI Cup.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
FAI Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights