Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: UCD vs Derry City

UCD vs Derry City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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FAI Cup 2026-08-16 15:00
UCD
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Derry City
Away

Prediction Summary

1
31%
X
23%
2
45%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

UCD (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Derry City (Away)

Goals scored / match5
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate100%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

UCD
WL
Derry City
WDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 100%
0% +1.5 100%
0% +2.5 100%
0% +3.5 100%
0% +4.5 100%
0% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

UCD averages 0 goals scored at home, while Derry City averages 5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
31%
Draw
23%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2023 UCD(A) 0 - 6 Derry City Away
Sep 2023 UCD 0 - 5 Derry City Away
May 2023 UCD(A) 1 - 4 Derry City Away
Mar 2023 UCD 0 - 4 Derry City Away
Sep 2022 UCD(A) 0 - 3 Derry City Away

In the last 5 meetings, UCD won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Derry City — winless run (away)0
Derry City — clean sheets (away, last 1)0 of 1

1X2 Probability model

UCD Win (1)31%
Draw (X)23%
Derry City Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 100%
0% +1.5 100%
0% +2.5 100%
0% +3.5 100%
0% +4.5 100%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 0%
100% -1.5 0%
100% -2.5 0%
100% -3.5 0%
100% -4.5 0%

UCD vs Derry City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

UCD — scored (home)0
UCD — conceded (home)0
Derry City — scored (away)5
Derry City — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals3.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

UCD — BTTS matches (home)0%
Derry City — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

UCD (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Derry City (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

UCD (home)

For—

Derry City (away)

For—

Shots per Game

UCD — total shots (home)—
Derry City — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

UCD — on target (home)—
Derry City — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

UCD

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Derry City

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison UCD vs Derry City

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

UCD vs Derry City prediction analysis

Review UCD vs Derry City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from FAI Cup.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance FAI Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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