Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Udinese vs Atalanta

Udinese vs Atalanta prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2025-11-01 14:00
Udinese
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
0-1
Atalanta
Away

Prediction Summary

1
23%
X
25%
2
52%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Udinese (Home)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Atalanta (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Udinese
LLWWD
Atalanta
DLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 89%
21% +1.5 32%
11% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Udinese averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Atalanta averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
23%
Draw
25%
Away Win
52%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Udinese(A) 2 - 2 Atalanta Draw
Nov 2025 Udinese 1 - 0 Atalanta Home
Jan 2025 Udinese 0 - 0 Atalanta Draw
Nov 2024 Udinese(A) 1 - 2 Atalanta Away
Jan 2024 Udinese(A) 0 - 2 Atalanta Away

In the last 5 meetings, Udinese won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Udinese — unbeaten run (home)0
Udinese — scoring streak (home)0
Atalanta — winless run (away)1
Atalanta — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Udinese Win (1)23%
Draw (X)25%
Atalanta Win (2)52%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 89%
21% +1.5 32%
11% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 11%
79% -1.5 68%
89% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Udinese vs Atalanta — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Udinese — scored (home)0.95
Udinese — conceded (home)1.11
Atalanta — scored (away)1.37
Atalanta — conceded (away)1.11
Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Udinese — BTTS matches (home)37%
Atalanta — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Udinese (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.3

Atalanta (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Udinese
9 7 12 10 6
Atalanta
10 8 4 7 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Udinese (home)

For1.7

Atalanta (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Udinese — total shots (home)12.8
Atalanta — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Udinese — on target (home)3.9
Atalanta — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Udinese

Inside the box6.97
Outside the box4.58

Atalanta

Inside the box9.79
Outside the box5

Player Shots Udinese

K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
N. Zaniolo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Atta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target13%
Rui Modesto
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Atalanta

N. Krstović
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target27%
G. Scamacca
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
G. Raspadori
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Lookman
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. De Ketelaere
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Udinese xG (home)1.1
Atalanta xG (away)1.52

Average Possession

45.63% Possession 55.13%

Team Comparison Udinese vs Atalanta

80.47% Pass accuracy 84.05%
369.95 Passes per match 493.89
-0.02 Goals prevented 0.26
13.58 Fouls committed 11.84
2.58 Goalkeeper saves 3.11
1.59 Offsides 1.97
15.18 Tackles per match 15.61

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Udinese vs Atalanta prediction analysis

Review Udinese vs Atalanta with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top