Prediction Analysis: Udinese vs Cagliari
Udinese vs Cagliari prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2026-09-20
16:30
Udinese
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Cagliari
Away
Prediction Summary
1
42%
X
28%
2
30%
+2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
46%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Udinese (Home)
Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%
Cagliari (Away)
Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Udinese
LLWWD
Cagliari
WWLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
63%
+0.5
63%
21%
+1.5
32%
11%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
37%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.
Udinese averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Cagliari averages 0.95 goals scored away.
Model Strength
60%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
42%
Draw
28%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Udinese(A)
2 - 0
Cagliari
Home
Oct 2025
Udinese
1 - 1
Cagliari
Draw
May 2025
Udinese(A)
2 - 1
Cagliari
Home
Oct 2024
Udinese
2 - 0
Cagliari
Home
Feb 2024
Udinese
1 - 1
Cagliari
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Udinese won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Udinese — unbeaten run (home)0
Udinese — scoring streak (home)0
Cagliari — winless run (away)0
Cagliari — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Udinese Win (1)42%
Draw (X)28%
Cagliari Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
63%
+0.5
63%
21%
+1.5
32%
11%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
37%
-0.5
37%
79%
-1.5
68%
89%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Udinese vs Cagliari — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Udinese — scored (home)0.95
Udinese — conceded (home)1.11
Cagliari — scored (away)0.95
Cagliari — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals2.29
Both Teams To Score
Yes46%
No54%
Rate per Team
Udinese — BTTS matches (home)37%
Cagliari — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Udinese (home)
Corners for4.7
Corners against4.3
Cagliari (away)
Corners for3.4
Corners against5.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Udinese
9
7
12
10
6
Cagliari
10
9
12
6
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4
Yellow Cards per Team
Udinese (home)
For1.7
Cagliari (away)
For2.5
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.556%
Under 22.544%
Over 25.542%
Under 25.558%
Expected total shots24.58
Udinese
Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.546%
Expected shots13.57
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.42
Cagliari
Shots Over 9.559%
Shots Over 11.542%
Shots Over 13.527%
Expected shots11.01
On Target Over 3.545%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.516%
Expected on target3.49
Shots per Game
Udinese — total shots (home)12.8
Cagliari — total shots (away)11.1
Shots on Target
Udinese — on target (home)3.9
Cagliari — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Udinese
Inside the box6.97
Outside the box4.58
Cagliari
Inside the box6.71
Outside the box4.21
Player Shots Udinese
K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
N. Zaniolo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Atta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target13%
Rui Modesto
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Cagliari
Zito Luvumbo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Belotti
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Felici
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
S. Esposito
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
G. Borrelli
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target11%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Udinese xG (home)1.1
Cagliari xG (away)1.01
Average Possession
45.63%
Possession
45.58%
Team Comparison Udinese vs Cagliari
80.47%
Pass accuracy
80.03%
369.95
Passes per match
394.18
-0.02
Goals prevented
-0.02
13.58
Fouls committed
13.79
2.58
Goalkeeper saves
3.21
1.59
Offsides
1.74
15.18
Tackles per match
16.05
League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Udinese vs Cagliari prediction analysis
Review Udinese vs Cagliari with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights