Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Udinese vs Como

Udinese vs Como prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-08-23 16:30
Udinese
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Away Win
Pick
Como
Probability
48%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Como
Away

Prediction Summary

1
23%
X
28%
2
48%
+2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
42%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Udinese (Home)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Como (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Udinese
LLWWD
Como
WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 68%
21% +1.5 47%
11% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 5%
37% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Away Win with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Medium.

Udinese averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Como averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
23%
Draw
28%
Away Win
48%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Udinese 0 - 0 Como Draw
Jan 2026 Udinese(A) 0 - 1 Como Away
Jan 2025 Udinese(A) 1 - 4 Como Away
Sep 2024 Udinese 1 - 0 Como Home

In the last 4 meetings, Udinese won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Udinese — unbeaten run (home)0
Udinese — scoring streak (home)0
Como — winless run (away)0
Como — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Udinese Win (1)23%
Draw (X)28%
Como Win (2)48%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 68%
21% +1.5 47%
11% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 32%
79% -1.5 53%
89% -2.5 74%
100% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 95%

Udinese vs Como — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Udinese — scored (home)0.95
Udinese — conceded (home)1.11
Como — scored (away)1.58
Como — conceded (away)0.74
Model expected combined goals2.18

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Udinese — BTTS matches (home)37%
Como — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Udinese (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.3

Como (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Udinese
9 7 12 10 6
Como
5 5 14 17 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Udinese (home)

For1.7

Como (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.568%
Under 19.532%
Over 22.553%
Under 22.547%
Over 25.539%
Under 25.561%
Expected total shots23.93

Udinese

Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.552%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.20
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target4.00

Como

Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.532%
Expected shots11.73
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.79

Shots per Game

Udinese — total shots (home)12.8
Como — total shots (away)12.2

Shots on Target

Udinese — on target (home)3.9
Como — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Udinese

Inside the box6.97
Outside the box4.58

Como

Inside the box9.53
Outside the box4.92

Player Shots Udinese

K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
N. Zaniolo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Atta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target13%
Rui Modesto
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Como

N. Paz
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target34%
T. Douvikas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target21%
Assane Diao
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
J. Addai
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. da Cunha
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Udinese xG (home)1.1
Como xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

45.63% Possession 61.61%

Team Comparison Udinese vs Como

80.47% Pass accuracy 87.05%
369.95 Passes per match 527.13
-0.02 Goals prevented 0.09
13.58 Fouls committed 13.29
2.58 Goalkeeper saves 2.32
1.59 Offsides 1.23
15.18 Tackles per match 16.42

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Udinese vs Como prediction analysis

Review Udinese vs Como with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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