Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Udinese vs Empoli

Udinese vs Empoli prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-02-16 14:00
Udinese
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Empoli
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
25%
2
36%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Udinese (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate42%

Empoli (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

Udinese
LLLWD
Empoli
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 26%
11% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Udinese averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Empoli averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
25%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 Udinese 3 - 0 Empoli Home
Nov 2024 Udinese(A) 1 - 1 Empoli Draw
May 2024 Udinese 1 - 1 Empoli Draw
Oct 2023 Udinese(A) 0 - 0 Empoli Draw
Mar 2023 Udinese(A) 1 - 0 Empoli Home

In the last 5 meetings, Udinese won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Udinese — unbeaten run (home)0
Udinese — scoring streak (home)2
Empoli — winless run (away)0
Empoli — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Udinese Win (1)40%
Draw (X)25%
Empoli Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 26%
11% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 21%
63% -1.5 74%
89% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Udinese vs Empoli — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Udinese — scored (home)1.16
Udinese — conceded (home)1.42
Empoli — scored (away)1.21
Empoli — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Udinese — BTTS matches (home)42%
Empoli — BTTS matches (away)74%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Udinese (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.9

Empoli (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Udinese
11 9 7 15 10
Empoli
7 9 4 8 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Udinese (home)

For2.2

Empoli (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Udinese — total shots (home)11.9
Empoli — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Udinese — on target (home)3.8
Empoli — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Udinese

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box4.32

Empoli

Inside the box5.53
Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Udinese

F. Thauvin
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Lucca
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Kabasele
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Empoli

C. Kouamé
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Colombo
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Esposito
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
P. Pellegri
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
L. Cacace
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Udinese xG (home)1.05
Empoli xG (away)0.86

Average Possession

47.24% Possession 41.29%

Team Comparison Udinese vs Empoli

80.89% Pass accuracy 73.97%
388.42 Passes per match 324.47
-0.07 Goals prevented -0.1
14.21 Fouls committed 14.95
3 Goalkeeper saves 2.78
1.32 Offsides 1.63
14.82 Tackles per match 18.13

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Udinese vs Empoli prediction analysis

Review Udinese vs Empoli with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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