Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Udinese vs Genoa

Udinese vs Genoa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2024-12-01 11:30
Udinese
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Genoa
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
24%
2
18%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Udinese (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate42%

Genoa (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Udinese
LLLWD
Genoa
WLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 21%
11% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.

Udinese averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Genoa averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
24%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Udinese(A) 2 - 0 Genoa Home
Dec 2025 Udinese 1 - 2 Genoa Away
Apr 2025 Udinese(A) 0 - 1 Genoa Away
Dec 2024 Udinese 0 - 2 Genoa Away
Feb 2024 Udinese(A) 0 - 2 Genoa Away

In the last 5 meetings, Udinese won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Udinese — unbeaten run (home)0
Udinese — scoring streak (home)2
Genoa — winless run (away)0
Genoa — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Udinese Win (1)58%
Draw (X)24%
Genoa Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 21%
11% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 42%
63% -1.5 79%
89% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Udinese vs Genoa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Udinese — scored (home)1.16
Udinese — conceded (home)1.42
Genoa — scored (away)0.84
Genoa — conceded (away)1.26
Model expected combined goals2.47

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Udinese — BTTS matches (home)42%
Genoa — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Udinese (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.9

Genoa (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Udinese
11 9 7 15 10
Genoa
9 15 8 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Udinese (home)

For2.2

Genoa (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Udinese — total shots (home)11.9
Genoa — total shots (away)8.6

Shots on Target

Udinese — on target (home)3.8
Genoa — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Udinese

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box4.32

Genoa

Inside the box6.74
Outside the box3.39

Player Shots Udinese

F. Thauvin
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Lucca
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Kabasele
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Genoa

A. Pinamonti
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target28%
K. De Winter
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target12%
F. Miretti
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Ekuban
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target6%
L. Venturino
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Udinese xG (home)1.05
Genoa xG (away)0.99

Average Possession

47.24% Possession 45.61%

Team Comparison Udinese vs Genoa

80.89% Pass accuracy 78.32%
388.42 Passes per match 372.39
-0.07 Goals prevented 0.1
14.21 Fouls committed 13.08
3 Goalkeeper saves 3.14
1.32 Offsides 1.53
14.82 Tackles per match 17.68

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Udinese vs Genoa prediction analysis

Review Udinese vs Genoa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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