Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Udinese vs Hellas Verona

Udinese vs Hellas Verona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-03-15 14:00
Udinese
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Hellas Verona
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
25%
2
27%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Udinese (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate42%

Hellas Verona (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Udinese
LLLWD
Hellas Verona
WDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 26%
11% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Udinese averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Hellas Verona averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
25%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Udinese(A) 3 - 1 Hellas Verona Home
Aug 2025 Udinese 1 - 1 Hellas Verona Draw
Mar 2025 Udinese 0 - 1 Hellas Verona Away
Jan 2025 Udinese(A) 0 - 0 Hellas Verona Draw
Apr 2024 Udinese(A) 0 - 1 Hellas Verona Away

In the last 5 meetings, Udinese won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Udinese — unbeaten run (home)0
Udinese — scoring streak (home)2
Hellas Verona — winless run (away)0
Hellas Verona — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Udinese Win (1)48%
Draw (X)25%
Hellas Verona Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 26%
11% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 37%
63% -1.5 74%
89% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Udinese vs Hellas Verona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Udinese — scored (home)1.16
Udinese — conceded (home)1.42
Hellas Verona — scored (away)1
Hellas Verona — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Udinese — BTTS matches (home)42%
Hellas Verona — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Udinese (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.9

Hellas Verona (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Udinese
11 9 7 15 10
Hellas Verona
5 7 9 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Udinese (home)

For2.2

Hellas Verona (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Udinese — total shots (home)11.9
Hellas Verona — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Udinese — on target (home)3.8
Hellas Verona — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Udinese

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box4.32

Hellas Verona

Inside the box6.18
Outside the box3.66

Player Shots Udinese

F. Thauvin
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Lucca
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Kabasele
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Hellas Verona

D. Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Ghilardi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Suslov
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
S. Serdar
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target5%
C. Tengstedt
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Udinese xG (home)1.05
Hellas Verona xG (away)0.91

Average Possession

47.24% Possession 38.47%

Team Comparison Udinese vs Hellas Verona

80.89% Pass accuracy 74.21%
388.42 Passes per match 318.58
-0.07 Goals prevented 0.01
14.21 Fouls committed 15.24
3 Goalkeeper saves 2.95
1.32 Offsides 1.57
14.82 Tackles per match 17.71

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Udinese vs Hellas Verona prediction analysis

Review Udinese vs Hellas Verona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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