Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Udinese vs Hellas Verona

Udinese vs Hellas Verona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-25 16:30
Udinese
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Hellas Verona
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
28%
2
25%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Udinese (Home)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Hellas Verona (Away)

Goals scored / match0.68
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Udinese
LLWWD
Hellas Verona
LDLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 53%
21% +1.5 16%
11% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Udinese averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Hellas Verona averages 0.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
28%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Udinese(A) 3 - 1 Hellas Verona Home
Aug 2025 Udinese 1 - 1 Hellas Verona Draw
Mar 2025 Udinese 0 - 1 Hellas Verona Away
Jan 2025 Udinese(A) 0 - 0 Hellas Verona Draw
Apr 2024 Udinese(A) 0 - 1 Hellas Verona Away

In the last 5 meetings, Udinese won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Udinese — unbeaten run (home)0
Udinese — scoring streak (home)0
Hellas Verona — winless run (away)4
Hellas Verona — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Udinese Win (1)47%
Draw (X)28%
Hellas Verona Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 53%
21% +1.5 16%
11% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 47%
79% -1.5 84%
89% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Udinese vs Hellas Verona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Udinese — scored (home)0.95
Udinese — conceded (home)1.11
Hellas Verona — scored (away)0.68
Hellas Verona — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.24

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Udinese — BTTS matches (home)37%
Hellas Verona — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Udinese (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.3

Hellas Verona (away)

Corners for3.1
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Udinese
9 7 12 10 6
Hellas Verona
6 15 14 12 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Udinese (home)

For1.7

Hellas Verona (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Udinese — total shots (home)12.8
Hellas Verona — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Udinese — on target (home)3.9
Hellas Verona — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Udinese

Inside the box6.97
Outside the box4.58

Hellas Verona

Inside the box6.21
Outside the box4.89

Player Shots Udinese

K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
N. Zaniolo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Atta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target13%
Rui Modesto
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Hellas Verona

Giovane
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target38%
G. Orban
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target29%
K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%
T. Suslov
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Frese
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Udinese xG (home)1.1
Hellas Verona xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

45.63% Possession 40.13%

Team Comparison Udinese vs Hellas Verona

80.47% Pass accuracy 74.21%
369.95 Passes per match 329.53
-0.02 Goals prevented -0.07
13.58 Fouls committed 15.76
2.58 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
1.59 Offsides 1.75
15.18 Tackles per match 18.82

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Udinese vs Hellas Verona prediction analysis

Review Udinese vs Hellas Verona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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