Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Udinese vs Lazio

Udinese vs Lazio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-27 17:00
Udinese
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
29%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Lazio
Away

Prediction Summary

1
31%
X
32%
2
37%
Under 2.5
71%
BTTS No
63%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Udinese (Home)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Lazio (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate16%

Team Form last 5 matches

Udinese
LLWWD
Lazio
WLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 42%
21% +1.5 26%
11% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 16%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 29%. Model confidence is High.

Udinese averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Lazio averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
31%
Draw
32%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS Yes
37%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Udinese(A) 3 - 3 Lazio Draw
Dec 2025 Udinese 1 - 1 Lazio Draw
Mar 2025 Udinese(A) 1 - 1 Lazio Draw
Aug 2024 Udinese 2 - 1 Lazio Home
Mar 2024 Udinese(A) 2 - 1 Lazio Home

In the last 5 meetings, Udinese won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Udinese — unbeaten run (home)0
Udinese — scoring streak (home)0
Lazio — winless run (away)1
Lazio — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Udinese Win (1)31%
Draw (X)32%
Lazio Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 42%
21% +1.5 26%
11% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 58%
79% -1.5 74%
89% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Udinese vs Lazio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Udinese — scored (home)0.95
Udinese — conceded (home)1.11
Lazio — scored (away)0.74
Lazio — conceded (away)0.79
Model expected combined goals1.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes37%
No63%

Rate per Team

Udinese — BTTS matches (home)37%
Lazio — BTTS matches (away)16%
Combined (simple average)26.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.579%
Under 5.521%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Udinese (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.3

Lazio (away)

Corners for2.9
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Udinese
9 7 12 10 6
Lazio
9 6 6 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Udinese (home)

For1.7

Lazio (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Udinese — total shots (home)12.8
Lazio — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Udinese — on target (home)3.9
Lazio — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Udinese

Inside the box6.97
Outside the box4.58

Lazio

Inside the box6.68
Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Udinese

K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
N. Zaniolo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Atta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target13%
Rui Modesto
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
G. Isaksen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Cancellieri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Zaccagni
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target12%
T. Bašić
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Udinese xG (home)1.1
Lazio xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

45.63% Possession 50.34%

Team Comparison Udinese vs Lazio

80.47% Pass accuracy 85.92%
369.95 Passes per match 491.95
-0.02 Goals prevented 0.21
13.58 Fouls committed 10.58
2.58 Goalkeeper saves 3.16
1.59 Offsides 1.06
15.18 Tackles per match 12.66

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Udinese vs Lazio prediction analysis

Review Udinese vs Lazio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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