Prediction Analysis: Udinese vs Lazio
Udinese vs Lazio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2026-09-06
16:30
Udinese
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
27%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Lazio
Away
Prediction Summary
1
32%
X
33%
2
35%
+2.5 Goals
27%
BTTS
35%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Udinese (Home)
Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%
Lazio (Away)
Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate16%
Team Form last 5 matches
Udinese
LLWWD
Lazio
WLLWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
63%
+0.5
42%
21%
+1.5
26%
11%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
37%
BTTS
16%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 27%. Model confidence is High.
Udinese averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Lazio averages 0.74 goals scored away.
Model Strength
73%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
32%
Draw
33%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS Yes
35%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Udinese(A)
3 - 3
Lazio
Draw
Dec 2025
Udinese
1 - 1
Lazio
Draw
Mar 2025
Udinese(A)
1 - 1
Lazio
Draw
Aug 2024
Udinese
2 - 1
Lazio
Home
Mar 2024
Udinese(A)
2 - 1
Lazio
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Udinese won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Udinese — unbeaten run (home)0
Udinese — scoring streak (home)0
Lazio — winless run (away)1
Lazio — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Udinese Win (1)32%
Draw (X)33%
Lazio Win (2)35%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
63%
+0.5
42%
21%
+1.5
26%
11%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
37%
-0.5
58%
79%
-1.5
74%
89%
-2.5
95%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Udinese vs Lazio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Udinese — scored (home)0.95
Udinese — conceded (home)1.11
Lazio — scored (away)0.74
Lazio — conceded (away)0.79
Model expected combined goals1.79
Both Teams To Score
Yes35%
No65%
Rate per Team
Udinese — BTTS matches (home)37%
Lazio — BTTS matches (away)16%
Combined (simple average)26.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Udinese (home)
Corners for4.7
Corners against4.3
Lazio (away)
Corners for2.9
Corners against4.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Udinese
9
7
12
10
6
Lazio
9
6
6
11
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1
Yellow Cards per Team
Udinese (home)
For1.7
Lazio (away)
For1.9
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.556%
Under 22.544%
Over 25.542%
Under 25.558%
Expected total shots24.57
Udinese
Shots Over 9.575%
Shots Over 11.560%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.30
On Target Over 3.555%
On Target Over 4.538%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.05
Lazio
Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.27
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.79
Shots per Game
Udinese — total shots (home)12.8
Lazio — total shots (away)9.8
Shots on Target
Udinese — on target (home)3.9
Lazio — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Udinese
Inside the box6.97
Outside the box4.58
Lazio
Inside the box6.68
Outside the box4.29
Player Shots Udinese
K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
N. Zaniolo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Atta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target13%
Rui Modesto
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Lazio
V. Castellanos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
G. Isaksen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Cancellieri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Zaccagni
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target12%
T. Bašić
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Udinese xG (home)1.1
Lazio xG (away)1.12
Average Possession
45.63%
Possession
50.34%
Team Comparison Udinese vs Lazio
80.47%
Pass accuracy
85.92%
369.95
Passes per match
491.95
-0.02
Goals prevented
0.21
13.58
Fouls committed
10.58
2.58
Goalkeeper saves
3.16
1.59
Offsides
1.06
15.18
Tackles per match
12.66
League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Udinese vs Lazio prediction analysis
Review Udinese vs Lazio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights