Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Udinese vs Parma

Udinese vs Parma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-03-01 19:45
Udinese
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Parma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
25%
2
27%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Udinese (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate42%

Parma (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Udinese
LLLWD
Parma
WDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 32%
11% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Udinese averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Parma averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
25%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Udinese 0 - 1 Parma Away
Nov 2025 Udinese(A) 2 - 0 Parma Home
Mar 2025 Udinese 1 - 0 Parma Home
Sep 2024 Udinese(A) 3 - 2 Parma Home
Feb 2021 Udinese(A) 2 - 2 Parma Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Udinese won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Udinese — unbeaten run (home)0
Udinese — scoring streak (home)2
Parma — winless run (away)0
Parma — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Udinese Win (1)48%
Draw (X)25%
Parma Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 32%
11% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 37%
63% -1.5 68%
89% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Udinese vs Parma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Udinese — scored (home)1.16
Udinese — conceded (home)1.42
Parma — scored (away)1
Parma — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals2.76

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Udinese — BTTS matches (home)42%
Parma — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.569%
Under 9.531%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Udinese (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.9

Parma (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Udinese
11 9 7 15 10
Parma
6 10 4 5 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Udinese (home)

For2.2

Parma (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Udinese — total shots (home)11.9
Parma — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Udinese — on target (home)3.8
Parma — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Udinese

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box4.32

Parma

Inside the box6.61
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Udinese

F. Thauvin
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Lucca
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Kabasele
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Parma

M. Keita
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Ondrejka
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Camara
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target5%
S. Sohm
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target8%
Mateo Pellegrino
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Udinese xG (home)1.05
Parma xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

47.24% Possession 44.13%

Team Comparison Udinese vs Parma

80.89% Pass accuracy 79.68%
388.42 Passes per match 383
-0.07 Goals prevented -0.14
14.21 Fouls committed 10.66
3 Goalkeeper saves 2.74
1.32 Offsides 0.82
14.82 Tackles per match 13.76

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Udinese vs Parma prediction analysis

Review Udinese vs Parma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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