Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK

Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-11-23 10:30
Ümraniyespor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Bodrum FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
25%
2
46%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Ümraniyespor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate53%

Bodrum FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ümraniyespor
LWLDW
Bodrum FK
LWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 70%
37% +1.5 35%
26% +2.5 25%
16% +3.5 15%
11% +4.5 5%
53% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Ümraniyespor averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Bodrum FK averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
25%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Ümraniyespor(A) 0 - 1 Bodrum FK Away
Nov 2025 Ümraniyespor 1 - 0 Bodrum FK Home
Feb 2024 Ümraniyespor 1 - 2 Bodrum FK Away
Sep 2023 Ümraniyespor(A) 0 - 4 Bodrum FK Away

In the last 4 meetings, Ümraniyespor won 1, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Ümraniyespor — unbeaten run (home)0
Ümraniyespor — scoring streak (home)3
Bodrum FK — winless run (away)3
Bodrum FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ümraniyespor Win (1)29%
Draw (X)25%
Bodrum FK Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 70%
37% +1.5 35%
26% +2.5 25%
16% +3.5 15%
11% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 30%
63% -1.5 65%
74% -2.5 75%
84% -3.5 85%
89% -4.5 95%

Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ümraniyespor — scored (home)1.68
Ümraniyespor — conceded (home)1.26
Bodrum FK — scored (away)1.5
Bodrum FK — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2.74

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Ümraniyespor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Bodrum FK — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.543%
Under 8.557%
Over 9.536%
Under 9.564%
Over 10.521%
Under 10.579%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ümraniyespor (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against3.8

Bodrum FK (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ümraniyespor
8 14 7 14 8
Bodrum FK
19 6 7 8 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Ümraniyespor (home)

For1.8

Bodrum FK (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Ümraniyespor — total shots (home)11.1
Bodrum FK — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Ümraniyespor — on target (home)5.1
Bodrum FK — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ümraniyespor

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box3.97

Bodrum FK

Inside the box8.1
Outside the box3.71

Player Shots Ümraniyespor

B. Çelik
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Soukou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Bardhi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Benny
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Kaplan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Bodrum FK

C. Dumanlı
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Seferi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target23%
D. Hotić
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Pedro Brazão
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Ajeti
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ümraniyespor xG (home)1.27
Bodrum FK xG (away)1.87

Average Possession

47.08% Possession 49.12%

Team Comparison Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK

79.97% Pass accuracy 79.49%
386.84 Passes per match 362.76
0 Goals prevented 0
10.42 Fouls committed 11.76
3.08 Goalkeeper saves 2.85
1.59 Offsides 2.31
14.54 Tackles per match 14.35

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK prediction analysis

Review Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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