What markets are included in the Ümraniyespor vs Çorum FK prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Ümraniyespor vs Çorum FK prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Ümraniyespor vs Çorum FK

Ümraniyespor vs Çorum FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-09-27 16:00

Ümraniyespor

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Çorum FK

Away

Prediction Summary

24%

25%

51%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Ümraniyespor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate53%

Çorum FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.48

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate19%

BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ümraniyespor

LWLDW

Çorum FK

WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 76%

37% +1.5 43%

26% +2.5 19%

16% +3.5 10%

11% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Ümraniyespor averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Çorum FK averages 1.48 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

24%

Draw

25%

Away Win

51%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Ümraniyespor(A) 0 - 2 Çorum FK Away

Sep 2025 Ümraniyespor 1 - 1 Çorum FK Draw

Jan 2025 Ümraniyespor(A) 1 - 3 Çorum FK Away

Aug 2024 Ümraniyespor 3 - 0 Çorum FK Home

Feb 2024 Ümraniyespor(A) 1 - 0 Çorum FK Home

In the last 5 meetings, Ümraniyespor won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Ümraniyespor — unbeaten run (home)0

Ümraniyespor — scoring streak (home)3

Çorum FK — winless run (away)0

Çorum FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ümraniyespor Win (1)24%

Draw (X)25%

Çorum FK Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 76%

37% +1.5 43%

26% +2.5 19%

16% +3.5 10%

11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 24%

63% -1.5 57%

74% -2.5 81%

84% -3.5 90%

89% -4.5 100%

Ümraniyespor vs Çorum FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ümraniyespor — scored (home)1.68

Ümraniyespor — conceded (home)1.26

Çorum FK — scored (away)1.48

Çorum FK — conceded (away)1.24

Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Ümraniyespor — BTTS matches (home)53%

Çorum FK — BTTS matches (away)52%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.578%

Under 6.522%

Over 7.562%

Under 7.538%

Over 8.542%

Under 8.558%

Over 9.530%

Under 9.570%

Over 10.513%

Under 10.587%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ümraniyespor (home)

Corners for4.1

Corners against3.8

Çorum FK (away)

Corners for5.6

Corners against3.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ümraniyespor

8 14 7 14 8

Çorum FK

10 10 8 17 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.575%

Under 2.525%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Ümraniyespor (home)

For1.8

Çorum FK (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Ümraniyespor — total shots (home)11.1

Çorum FK — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Ümraniyespor — on target (home)5.1

Çorum FK — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ümraniyespor

Inside the box6.03

Outside the box3.97

Çorum FK

Inside the box8.9

Outside the box4.83

Player Shots Ümraniyespor

B. Çelik

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target24%

C. Soukou

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Bardhi

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

Benny

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target20%

E. Kaplan

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Çorum FK

Y. Erdoğan

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Pedrinho

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target8%

B. Samudio

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target15%

E. Eze

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target21%

M. Thiam

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ümraniyespor xG (home)1.27

Çorum FK xG (away)1.83

Average Possession

47.08% Possession 59.1%

Team Comparison Ümraniyespor vs Çorum FK

79.97% Pass accuracy 83.48%

386.84 Passes per match 467.05

0 Goals prevented 0

10.42 Fouls committed 12.31

3.08 Goalkeeper saves 1.79

1.59 Offsides 2.48

14.54 Tackles per match 14.5

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ümraniyespor vs Çorum FK prediction analysis

Review Ümraniyespor vs Çorum FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights