Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ümraniyespor vs Mardin 1969

Ümraniyespor vs Mardin 1969 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2026-08-09 16:00
Ümraniyespor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Mardin 1969
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
24%
2
29%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Ümraniyespor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate53%

Mardin 1969 (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ümraniyespor
LWLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 0%
37% +1.5 0%
26% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ümraniyespor averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Mardin 1969 averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
24%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Ümraniyespor — unbeaten run (home)0
Ümraniyespor — scoring streak (home)3

1X2 Probability model

Ümraniyespor Win (1)47%
Draw (X)24%
Mardin 1969 Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 0%
37% +1.5 0%
26% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 100%
63% -1.5 100%
74% -2.5 100%
84% -3.5 100%
89% -4.5 100%

Ümraniyespor vs Mardin 1969 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ümraniyespor — scored (home)1.68
Ümraniyespor — conceded (home)1.26
Mardin 1969 — scored (away)0
Mardin 1969 — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Ümraniyespor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Mardin 1969 — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)26.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ümraniyespor (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against3.8

Mardin 1969 (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ümraniyespor
8 14 7 14 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.548%
Under 0.552%
Over 1.540%
Under 1.560%
Over 2.532%
Under 2.568%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Ümraniyespor (home)

For1.8

Mardin 1969 (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.561%
Under 19.539%
Over 22.547%
Under 22.553%
Over 25.535%
Under 25.565%
Expected total shots22.87

Ümraniyespor

Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.551%
Shots Over 13.537%
Expected shots12.24
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.536%
Expected on target4.82

Mardin 1969

Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.539%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.64
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.76

Shots per Game

Ümraniyespor — total shots (home)11.1
Mardin 1969 — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Ümraniyespor — on target (home)5.1
Mardin 1969 — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ümraniyespor

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box3.97

Mardin 1969

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Ümraniyespor

B. Çelik
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Soukou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Bardhi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Benny
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Kaplan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Mardin 1969

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ümraniyespor xG (home)1.27
Mardin 1969 xG (away)-

Average Possession

47.08% Possession -%

Team Comparison Ümraniyespor vs Mardin 1969

79.97% Pass accuracy 0%
386.84 Passes per match -
0 Goals prevented -
10.42 Fouls committed -
3.08 Goalkeeper saves -
1.59 Offsides -
14.54 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ümraniyespor vs Mardin 1969 prediction analysis

Review Ümraniyespor vs Mardin 1969 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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