Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor

Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-11-01 13:00
Ümraniyespor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Sivasspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
28%
2
32%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Ümraniyespor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate53%

Sivasspor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.28
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ümraniyespor
LWLDW
Sivasspor
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 67%
37% +1.5 22%
26% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ümraniyespor averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Sivasspor averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
28%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2026 Ümraniyespor(A) 0 - 1 Sivasspor Away
Nov 2025 Ümraniyespor 1 - 0 Sivasspor Home
May 2023 Ümraniyespor 4 - 1 Sivasspor Home
Nov 2022 Ümraniyespor(A) 2 - 2 Sivasspor Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Ümraniyespor won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Ümraniyespor — unbeaten run (home)0
Ümraniyespor — scoring streak (home)3
Sivasspor — winless run (away)2
Sivasspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ümraniyespor Win (1)40%
Draw (X)28%
Sivasspor Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 67%
37% +1.5 22%
26% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 33%
63% -1.5 78%
74% -2.5 100%
84% -3.5 100%
89% -4.5 100%

Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ümraniyespor — scored (home)1.68
Ümraniyespor — conceded (home)1.26
Sivasspor — scored (away)0.89
Sivasspor — conceded (away)1.28
Model expected combined goals2.27

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Ümraniyespor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Sivasspor — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.586%
Under 4.514%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.573%
Under 6.527%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.538%
Under 8.562%
Over 9.536%
Under 9.564%
Over 10.528%
Under 10.572%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ümraniyespor (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against3.8

Sivasspor (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ümraniyespor
8 14 7 14 8
Sivasspor
2 19 12 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Ümraniyespor (home)

For1.8

Sivasspor (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Ümraniyespor — total shots (home)11.1
Sivasspor — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Ümraniyespor — on target (home)5.1
Sivasspor — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ümraniyespor

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box3.97

Sivasspor

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.86

Player Shots Ümraniyespor

B. Çelik
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Soukou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Bardhi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Benny
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Kaplan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Sivasspor

Luan Campos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Manaj
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
T. Böke
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Ethemi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Fidan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ümraniyespor xG (home)1.27
Sivasspor xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

47.08% Possession 50.24%

Team Comparison Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor

79.97% Pass accuracy 79.59%
386.84 Passes per match 374.54
0 Goals prevented 0
10.42 Fouls committed 11.57
3.08 Goalkeeper saves 2.36
1.59 Offsides 2.68
14.54 Tackles per match 14.32

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor prediction analysis

Review Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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