Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: União de Leiria vs Benfica B

União de Leiria vs Benfica B prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda Liga 2026-08-15 13:00
União de Leiria
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Benfica B
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
25%
2
33%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

União de Leiria (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%

Benfica B (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

União de Leiria
DLLLW
Benfica B
LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 71%
59% +1.5 29%
18% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

União de Leiria averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Benfica B averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
25%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 União de Leiria(A) 2 - 2 Benfica B Draw
Nov 2025 União de Leiria 2 - 2 Benfica B Draw
Apr 2025 União de Leiria 1 - 3 Benfica B Away
Dec 2024 União de Leiria(A) 5 - 0 Benfica B Home
Jan 2024 União de Leiria(A) 1 - 0 Benfica B Home

In the last 5 meetings, União de Leiria won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

União de Leiria — unbeaten run (home)1
União de Leiria — scoring streak (home)1
Benfica B — winless run (away)1
Benfica B — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

União de Leiria Win (1)42%
Draw (X)25%
Benfica B Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 71%
59% +1.5 29%
18% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 29%
41% -1.5 71%
82% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

União de Leiria vs Benfica B — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

União de Leiria — scored (home)1.65
União de Leiria — conceded (home)1.47
Benfica B — scored (away)1.06
Benfica B — conceded (away)1.29
Model expected combined goals2.74

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

União de Leiria — BTTS matches (home)65%
Benfica B — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

União de Leiria (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against3.6

Benfica B (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against3.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

União de Leiria
0 0 0 0 0
Benfica B
3 7 0 0 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.597%
Under 2.53%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

União de Leiria (home)

For2.7

Benfica B (away)

For3.2

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.541%
Under 19.559%
Over 22.532%
Under 22.568%
Over 25.524%
Under 25.576%
Expected total shots19.01

União de Leiria

Shots Over 9.548%
Shots Over 11.536%
Shots Over 13.526%
Expected shots10.26
On Target Over 3.547%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.66

Benfica B

Shots Over 9.538%
Shots Over 11.526%
Shots Over 13.518%
Expected shots8.75
On Target Over 3.541%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.31

Shots per Game

União de Leiria — total shots (home)13.0
Benfica B — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

União de Leiria — on target (home)4.8
Benfica B — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

União de Leiria

Inside the box8.77
Outside the box4.15

Benfica B

Inside the box8.58
Outside the box4.5

Player Shots União de Leiria

Juan Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
D. Michel
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
Jair da Silva
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
P. Fernandez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Bernardo Gomes
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Benfica B

Diogo Ferreira Prioste
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
Henrique Araújo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
João Carvalho Fonseca
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

União de Leiria xG (home)0
Benfica B xG (away)0

Average Possession

51.38% Possession 54.17%

Team Comparison União de Leiria vs Benfica B

83.25% Pass accuracy 72.91%
379.15 Passes per match 379.67
0 Goals prevented 0
16.69 Fouls committed 16.33
3.08 Goalkeeper saves 2.25
2.64 Offsides 2.17
18.25 Tackles per match 13.75
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

União de Leiria vs Benfica B prediction analysis

Review União de Leiria vs Benfica B with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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