Prediction Analysis: Union Berlin vs 1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Heidenheim prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-11-29
14:30
Union Berlin
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
1. FC Heidenheim
Away
Prediction Summary
1
67%
X
19%
2
14%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Union Berlin (Home)
Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate71%
1. FC Heidenheim (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%
Team Form last 5 matches
Union Berlin
WWDLL
1. FC Heidenheim
LWDWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
65%
47%
+1.5
29%
18%
+2.5
12%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
71%
BTTS
65%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.
Union Berlin averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Heidenheim averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
67%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
67%
Draw
19%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Union Berlin(A)
1 - 3
1. FC Heidenheim
Away
Nov 2025
Union Berlin
1 - 2
1. FC Heidenheim
Away
May 2025
Union Berlin
0 - 3
1. FC Heidenheim
Away
Jan 2025
Union Berlin(A)
0 - 2
1. FC Heidenheim
Away
Feb 2024
Union Berlin
2 - 2
1. FC Heidenheim
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Union Berlin won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
Union Berlin — unbeaten run (home)2
Union Berlin — scoring streak (home)7
1. FC Heidenheim — winless run (away)0
1. FC Heidenheim — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Union Berlin Win (1)67%
Draw (X)19%
1. FC Heidenheim Win (2)14%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
65%
47%
+1.5
29%
18%
+2.5
12%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
35%
53%
-1.5
71%
82%
-2.5
88%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Heidenheim — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Union Berlin — scored (home)1.53
Union Berlin — conceded (home)1.53
1. FC Heidenheim — scored (away)1.06
1. FC Heidenheim — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals3.02
Both Teams To Score
Yes51%
No49%
Rate per Team
Union Berlin — BTTS matches (home)71%
1. FC Heidenheim — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)68%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Union Berlin (home)
Corners for5.2
Corners against4.5
1. FC Heidenheim (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against5.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Union Berlin
15
14
7
15
13
1. FC Heidenheim
9
12
18
10
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Union Berlin (home)
For2.5
1. FC Heidenheim (away)
For1.7
Shots per Game
Union Berlin — total shots (home)13.2
1. FC Heidenheim — total shots (away)11.3
Shots on Target
Union Berlin — on target (home)4.4
1. FC Heidenheim — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Union Berlin
Inside the box9.06
Outside the box3.41
1. FC Heidenheim
Inside the box7.88
Outside the box3.53
Player Shots Union Berlin
A. Ilić
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Burke
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target14%
Ilyas Ansah
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Schäfer
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target4%
D. Doekhi
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots 1. FC Heidenheim
B. Zivzivadze
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Dinkçi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Ibrahimović
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Schimmer
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Pieringer
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Berlin xG (home)1.35
1. FC Heidenheim xG (away)1.41
Average Possession
40.24%
Possession
42.26%
Team Comparison Union Berlin vs 1. FC Heidenheim
71.44%
Pass accuracy
75.88%
334.44
Passes per match
362.38
-0.02
Goals prevented
-0.01
12.26
Fouls committed
9.82
2.71
Goalkeeper saves
3.38
1.67
Offsides
2.06
14.76
Tackles per match
15.41
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Heidenheim prediction analysis
Review Union Berlin vs 1. FC Heidenheim with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights