Prediction Analysis: Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04
Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2026-09-11
18:30
Union Berlin
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Schalke 04
Away
Prediction Summary
1
55%
X
22%
2
23%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Union Berlin (Home)
Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate71%
FC Schalke 04 (Away)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Team Form last 5 matches
Union Berlin
WWDLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
0%
47%
+1.5
0%
18%
+2.5
0%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
71%
BTTS
0%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.
Union Berlin averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while FC Schalke 04 averages 0 goals scored away.
Model Strength
60%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
55%
Draw
22%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
59%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2023
Union Berlin
0 - 0
FC Schalke 04
Draw
Aug 2022
Union Berlin(A)
6 - 1
FC Schalke 04
Home
Feb 2021
Union Berlin
0 - 0
FC Schalke 04
Draw
Oct 2020
Union Berlin(A)
1 - 1
FC Schalke 04
Draw
Jun 2020
Union Berlin
1 - 1
FC Schalke 04
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Union Berlin won 1, drew 4 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Union Berlin — unbeaten run (home)2
Union Berlin — scoring streak (home)7
1X2 Probability model
Union Berlin Win (1)55%
Draw (X)22%
FC Schalke 04 Win (2)23%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
0%
47%
+1.5
0%
18%
+2.5
0%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
100%
53%
-1.5
100%
82%
-2.5
100%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Union Berlin — scored (home)1.53
Union Berlin — conceded (home)1.53
FC Schalke 04 — scored (away)0
FC Schalke 04 — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals3.09
Both Teams To Score
Yes59%
No41%
Rate per Team
Union Berlin — BTTS matches (home)71%
FC Schalke 04 — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)35.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Union Berlin (home)
Corners for5.2
Corners against4.5
FC Schalke 04 (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Union Berlin
15
14
7
15
13
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.544%
Under 1.556%
Over 2.536%
Under 2.564%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Union Berlin (home)
For2.5
FC Schalke 04 (away)
For—
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.68
Union Berlin
Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.567%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.24
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.539%
Expected on target5.03
FC Schalke 04
Shots Over 9.563%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.45
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.90
Shots per Game
Union Berlin — total shots (home)13.2
FC Schalke 04 — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Union Berlin — on target (home)4.4
FC Schalke 04 — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Union Berlin
Inside the box9.06
Outside the box3.41
FC Schalke 04
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player Shots Union Berlin
A. Ilić
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Burke
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target14%
Ilyas Ansah
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Schäfer
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target4%
D. Doekhi
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots FC Schalke 04
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Berlin xG (home)1.35
FC Schalke 04 xG (away)-
Average Possession
40.24%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04
71.44%
Pass accuracy
0%
334.44
Passes per match
-
-0.02
Goals prevented
-
12.26
Fouls committed
-
2.71
Goalkeeper saves
-
1.67
Offsides
-
14.76
Tackles per match
-
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 prediction analysis
Review Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights