What markets are included in the Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel

Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-03-02 14:30

Union Berlin

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

62%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Holstein Kiel

Away

Prediction Summary

50%

23%

27%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

62%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Union Berlin (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate59%

Holstein Kiel (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match2.29

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union Berlin

WLDDD

Holstein Kiel

LLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 94%

29% +1.5 41%

6% +2.5 12%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Union Berlin averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Holstein Kiel averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

50%

Draw

23%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

62%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2025 Union Berlin 0 - 1 Holstein Kiel Away

Oct 2024 Union Berlin(A) 2 - 0 Holstein Kiel Home

In the last 2 meetings, Union Berlin won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Union Berlin — unbeaten run (home)0

Union Berlin — scoring streak (home)0

Holstein Kiel — winless run (away)1

Holstein Kiel — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union Berlin Win (1)50%

Draw (X)23%

Holstein Kiel Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 94%

29% +1.5 41%

6% +2.5 12%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 6%

71% -1.5 59%

94% -2.5 88%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union Berlin — scored (home)1.12

Union Berlin — conceded (home)1.29

Holstein Kiel — scored (away)1.47

Holstein Kiel — conceded (away)2.29

Model expected combined goals3.18

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%

No38%

Rate per Team

Union Berlin — BTTS matches (home)59%

Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (away)88%

Combined (simple average)73.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.586%

Under 6.514%

Over 7.580%

Under 7.520%

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.536%

Under 10.564%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union Berlin (home)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.5

Holstein Kiel (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against7.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union Berlin

8 14 10 3 4

Holstein Kiel

16 15 12 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Union Berlin (home)

For2.2

Holstein Kiel (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Union Berlin — total shots (home)13.5

Holstein Kiel — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Union Berlin — on target (home)3.9

Holstein Kiel — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union Berlin

Inside the box8.26

Outside the box4

Holstein Kiel

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box3.76

Player Shots Union Berlin

L. Tousart

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target13%

Y. Vertessen

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target12%

A. Ilić

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

B. Hollerbach

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target15%

Jeong Woo-Yeong

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Holstein Kiel

A. Kelati

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

P. Harres

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

S. Machino

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

N. Remberg

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

A. Bernhardsson

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Berlin xG (home)1.09

Holstein Kiel xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

40.41% Possession 43.65%

Team Comparison Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel

73.65% Pass accuracy 76.41%

359.03 Passes per match 370.29

0.06 Goals prevented -0.15

12.32 Fouls committed 11.97

2.68 Goalkeeper saves 3.59

2.03 Offsides 1.38

15.94 Tackles per match 15.97

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel prediction analysis

Review Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights