What markets are included in the Union Espanola vs A. Italiano prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Union Espanola vs A. Italiano prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Union Espanola vs A. Italiano

Union Espanola vs A. Italiano prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-09-13 15:30

Union Espanola

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

53%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

A. Italiano

Away

Prediction Summary

35%

25%

39%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Union Espanola (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate27%

BTTS rate53%

A. Italiano (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.73

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union Espanola

LLLLD

A. Italiano

WWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 80%

47% +1.5 40%

27% +2.5 20%

7% +3.5 7%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Union Espanola averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while A. Italiano averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

35%

Draw

25%

Away Win

39%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 2

Sep 2025 Union Espanola 3 - 4 A. Italiano Away

Apr 2025 Union Espanola(A) 0 - 2 A. Italiano Away

In the last 2 meetings, Union Espanola won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Union Espanola — unbeaten run (home)0

Union Espanola — scoring streak (home)7

A. Italiano — winless run (away)0

A. Italiano — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union Espanola Win (1)35%

Draw (X)25%

A. Italiano Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 80%

47% +1.5 40%

27% +2.5 20%

7% +3.5 7%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 20%

53% -1.5 60%

73% -2.5 80%

93% -3.5 93%

100% -4.5 100%

Union Espanola vs A. Italiano — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union Espanola — scored (home)1.47

Union Espanola — conceded (home)2

A. Italiano — scored (away)1.47

A. Italiano — conceded (away)1.73

Model expected combined goals2.82

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Union Espanola — BTTS matches (home)53%

A. Italiano — BTTS matches (away)67%

Combined (simple average)60%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.597%

Under 6.53%

Over 7.580%

Under 7.520%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.557%

Under 9.543%

Over 10.557%

Under 10.543%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union Espanola (home)

Corners for6.8

Corners against4.7

A. Italiano (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union Espanola

7 8 11 15 11

A. Italiano

8 19 13 5 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.594%

Under 2.56%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Union Espanola (home)

For2.7

A. Italiano (away)

For3.5

Shots per Game

Union Espanola — total shots (home)14.0

A. Italiano — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Union Espanola — on target (home)4.6

A. Italiano — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union Espanola

Inside the box7.93

Outside the box6.13

A. Italiano

Inside the box6.93

Outside the box4.93

Player Shots Union Espanola

P. Aránguiz

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target15%

M. Suárez

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

A. Uribe

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

I. Jeraldino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target22%

M. Marín

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots A. Italiano

L. Valencia

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target32%

E. Vargas

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target8%

Michael Fuentes

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target4%

L. Palacios

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Riveros

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Espanola xG (home)1.45

A. Italiano xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

51.87% Possession 43.13%

Team Comparison Union Espanola vs A. Italiano

78.9% Pass accuracy 72.9%

401.97 Passes per match 303.87

0 Goals prevented 0

10.67 Fouls committed 10.47

3.2 Goalkeeper saves 3.8

2.14 Offsides 2

16.07 Tackles per match 15.55

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union Espanola vs A. Italiano prediction analysis

Review Union Espanola vs A. Italiano with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights