Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Union Espanola vs Deportes Iquique

Union Espanola vs Deportes Iquique prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-08-15 19:00
Union Espanola
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Deportes Iquique
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
24%
2
29%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Union Espanola (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate27%
BTTS rate53%

Deportes Iquique (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2.07
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union Espanola
LLLLD
Deportes Iquique
LWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 73%
47% +1.5 27%
27% +2.5 0%
7% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Union Espanola averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Deportes Iquique averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
24%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Union Espanola 2 - 2 Deportes Iquique Draw
Mar 2025 Union Espanola(A) 4 - 0 Deportes Iquique Home

In the last 2 meetings, Union Espanola won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Union Espanola — unbeaten run (home)0
Union Espanola — scoring streak (home)7
Deportes Iquique — winless run (away)0
Deportes Iquique — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union Espanola Win (1)47%
Draw (X)24%
Deportes Iquique Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 73%
47% +1.5 27%
27% +2.5 0%
7% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 27%
53% -1.5 73%
73% -2.5 100%
93% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Union Espanola vs Deportes Iquique — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union Espanola — scored (home)1.47
Union Espanola — conceded (home)2
Deportes Iquique — scored (away)1
Deportes Iquique — conceded (away)2.07
Model expected combined goals2.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Union Espanola — BTTS matches (home)53%
Deportes Iquique — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)60%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union Espanola (home)

Corners for6.8
Corners against4.7

Deportes Iquique (away)

Corners for3.1
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union Espanola
7 8 11 15 11
Deportes Iquique
3 7 12 14 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Union Espanola (home)

For2.7

Deportes Iquique (away)

For3.6

Shots per Game

Union Espanola — total shots (home)14.0
Deportes Iquique — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

Union Espanola — on target (home)4.6
Deportes Iquique — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union Espanola

Inside the box7.93
Outside the box6.13

Deportes Iquique

Inside the box7.87
Outside the box4.7

Player Shots Union Espanola

P. Aránguiz
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Suárez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Uribe
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Jeraldino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Marín
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Deportes Iquique

Á. Ramos
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
E. Puch
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Venezia
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Pino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Dávila
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Espanola xG (home)1.45
Deportes Iquique xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

51.87% Possession 44.77%

Team Comparison Union Espanola vs Deportes Iquique

78.9% Pass accuracy 72.67%
401.97 Passes per match 327.83
0 Goals prevented 0
10.67 Fouls committed 11.03
3.2 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
2.14 Offsides 2.4
16.07 Tackles per match 14.87

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union Espanola vs Deportes Iquique prediction analysis

Review Union Espanola vs Deportes Iquique with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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