Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Union Espanola vs Palestino

Union Espanola vs Palestino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-02-21 21:00
Union Espanola
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Palestino
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
24%
2
48%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Union Espanola (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate27%
BTTS rate53%

Palestino (Away)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union Espanola
LLLLD
Palestino
DWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 80%
47% +1.5 40%
27% +2.5 20%
7% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Union Espanola averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Palestino averages 1.4 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
24%
Away Win
48%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Union Espanola(A) 0 - 1 Palestino Away
Feb 2025 Union Espanola 0 - 3 Palestino Away

In the last 2 meetings, Union Espanola won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Union Espanola — unbeaten run (home)0
Union Espanola — scoring streak (home)7
Palestino — winless run (away)0
Palestino — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union Espanola Win (1)28%
Draw (X)24%
Palestino Win (2)48%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 80%
47% +1.5 40%
27% +2.5 20%
7% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 20%
53% -1.5 60%
73% -2.5 80%
93% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Union Espanola vs Palestino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union Espanola — scored (home)1.47
Union Espanola — conceded (home)2
Palestino — scored (away)1.4
Palestino — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Union Espanola — BTTS matches (home)53%
Palestino — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)56.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.560%
Under 9.540%
Over 10.560%
Under 10.540%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union Espanola (home)

Corners for6.8
Corners against4.7

Palestino (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union Espanola
7 8 11 15 11
Palestino
7 12 14 12 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.597%
Under 2.53%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Union Espanola (home)

For2.7

Palestino (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Union Espanola — total shots (home)14.0
Palestino — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Union Espanola — on target (home)4.6
Palestino — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union Espanola

Inside the box7.93
Outside the box6.13

Palestino

Inside the box7.37
Outside the box5.5

Player Shots Union Espanola

P. Aránguiz
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Suárez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Uribe
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Jeraldino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Marín
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Palestino

J. Marabel
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target21%
Joe Abrigo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target10%
G. Tapia Paez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Arias
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target7%
B. Carrasco
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Espanola xG (home)1.45
Palestino xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

51.87% Possession 58.73%

Team Comparison Union Espanola vs Palestino

78.9% Pass accuracy 80.2%
401.97 Passes per match 448.07
0 Goals prevented 0
10.67 Fouls committed 10.7
3.2 Goalkeeper saves 3.2
2.14 Offsides 1.71
16.07 Tackles per match 14.4

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union Espanola vs Palestino prediction analysis

Review Union Espanola vs Palestino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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