Prediction Analysis: Union La Calera vs Deportes Iquique
Union La Calera vs Deportes Iquique prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera División
2025-11-07
23:00
Union La Calera
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Deportes Iquique
Away
Prediction Summary
1
57%
X
23%
2
20%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Union La Calera (Home)
Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.07
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate40%
Deportes Iquique (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2.07
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%
Team Form last 5 matches
Union La Calera
LLLLL
Deportes Iquique
LWWWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
73%
+0.5
73%
27%
+1.5
27%
13%
+2.5
0%
7%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
40%
BTTS
67%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.
Union La Calera averages 1.2 goals scored at home, while Deportes Iquique averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
57%
Draw
23%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 2
Nov 2025
Union La Calera
1 - 2
Deportes Iquique
Away
May 2025
Union La Calera(A)
1 - 0
Deportes Iquique
Home
In the last 2 meetings, Union La Calera won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Union La Calera — unbeaten run (home)0
Union La Calera — scoring streak (home)0
Deportes Iquique — winless run (away)0
Deportes Iquique — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Union La Calera Win (1)57%
Draw (X)23%
Deportes Iquique Win (2)20%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
73%
+0.5
73%
27%
+1.5
27%
13%
+2.5
0%
7%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
27%
-0.5
27%
73%
-1.5
73%
87%
-2.5
100%
93%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Union La Calera vs Deportes Iquique — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Union La Calera — scored (home)1.2
Union La Calera — conceded (home)1.07
Deportes Iquique — scored (away)1
Deportes Iquique — conceded (away)2.07
Model expected combined goals2.77
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
Union La Calera — BTTS matches (home)40%
Deportes Iquique — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)53.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.577%
Under 5.523%
Over 6.570%
Under 6.530%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.540%
Under 8.560%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Union La Calera (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against3.2
Deportes Iquique (away)
Corners for3.1
Corners against6.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Union La Calera
7
7
6
8
11
Deportes Iquique
3
7
12
14
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.593%
Under 0.57%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Union La Calera (home)
For2.6
Deportes Iquique (away)
For3.6
Shots per Game
Union La Calera — total shots (home)11.6
Deportes Iquique — total shots (away)11.1
Shots on Target
Union La Calera — on target (home)3.4
Deportes Iquique — on target (away)3.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Union La Calera
Inside the box5.57
Outside the box4.23
Deportes Iquique
Inside the box7.87
Outside the box4.7
Player Shots Union La Calera
S. Sáez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Benegas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ignacio Mesías
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Insaurralde
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Encinas
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Deportes Iquique
Á. Ramos
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
E. Puch
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Venezia
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Pino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Dávila
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Union La Calera xG (home)1.05
Deportes Iquique xG (away)1.27
Average Possession
49.03%
Possession
44.77%
Team Comparison Union La Calera vs Deportes Iquique
76.73%
Pass accuracy
72.67%
383.4
Passes per match
327.83
0
Goals prevented
0
11.5
Fouls committed
11.03
2.76
Goalkeeper saves
3.5
1.74
Offsides
2.4
15.45
Tackles per match
14.87
League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Union La Calera vs Deportes Iquique prediction analysis
Review Union La Calera vs Deportes Iquique with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights