Prediction Analysis: Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache
Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera División
2025-11-30
21:00
Union La Calera
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Deportes Limache
Away
Prediction Summary
1
52%
X
24%
2
24%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Union La Calera (Home)
Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.07
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate40%
Deportes Limache (Away)
Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match2.07
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate80%
Team Form last 5 matches
Union La Calera
LLLLL
Deportes Limache
WWWLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
73%
+0.5
87%
27%
+1.5
20%
13%
+2.5
7%
7%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
40%
BTTS
80%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.
Union La Calera averages 1.2 goals scored at home, while Deportes Limache averages 1.13 goals scored away.
Model Strength
55%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
52%
Draw
24%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
Head-to-Head last 2
Nov 2025
Union La Calera
0 - 1
Deportes Limache
Away
Jun 2025
Union La Calera(A)
1 - 0
Deportes Limache
Home
In the last 2 meetings, Union La Calera won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Union La Calera — unbeaten run (home)0
Union La Calera — scoring streak (home)0
Deportes Limache — winless run (away)0
Deportes Limache — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Union La Calera Win (1)52%
Draw (X)24%
Deportes Limache Win (2)24%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
73%
+0.5
87%
27%
+1.5
20%
13%
+2.5
7%
7%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
27%
-0.5
13%
73%
-1.5
80%
87%
-2.5
93%
93%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Union La Calera — scored (home)1.2
Union La Calera — conceded (home)1.07
Deportes Limache — scored (away)1.13
Deportes Limache — conceded (away)2.07
Model expected combined goals2.86
Both Teams To Score
Yes55%
No45%
Rate per Team
Union La Calera — BTTS matches (home)40%
Deportes Limache — BTTS matches (away)80%
Combined (simple average)60%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.560%
Under 7.540%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Union La Calera (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against3.2
Deportes Limache (away)
Corners for4.1
Corners against6.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Union La Calera
7
7
6
8
11
Deportes Limache
7
12
11
8
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Union La Calera (home)
For2.6
Deportes Limache (away)
For2.4
Shots per Game
Union La Calera — total shots (home)11.6
Deportes Limache — total shots (away)11.5
Shots on Target
Union La Calera — on target (home)3.4
Deportes Limache — on target (away)3.9
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Union La Calera
Inside the box5.57
Outside the box4.23
Deportes Limache
Inside the box6.9
Outside the box5.2
Player Shots Union La Calera
S. Sáez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Benegas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ignacio Mesías
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Insaurralde
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Encinas
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Deportes Limache
F. Pons
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Castro
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target32%
L. Guerra
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Da Silva
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Plaza
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Union La Calera xG (home)1.05
Deportes Limache xG (away)1.55
Average Possession
49.03%
Possession
44.27%
Team Comparison Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache
76.73%
Pass accuracy
75.27%
383.4
Passes per match
338.93
0
Goals prevented
0
11.5
Fouls committed
11.5
2.76
Goalkeeper saves
3.13
1.74
Offsides
1.8
15.45
Tackles per match
15.3
League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache prediction analysis
Review Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights