Prediction Analysis: Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina
Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera División
2025-09-12
23:30
Union La Calera
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Everton de Vina
Away
Prediction Summary
1
52%
X
25%
2
24%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Union La Calera (Home)
Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.07
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate40%
Everton de Vina (Away)
Goals scored / match0.73
Goals conceded / match1.87
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate40%
Team Form last 5 matches
Union La Calera
LLLLL
Everton de Vina
LLLWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
73%
+0.5
47%
27%
+1.5
20%
13%
+2.5
7%
7%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
40%
BTTS
40%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.
Union La Calera averages 1.2 goals scored at home, while Everton de Vina averages 0.73 goals scored away.
Model Strength
52%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
52%
Draw
25%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 2
Sep 2025
Union La Calera
1 - 0
Everton de Vina
Home
Apr 2025
Union La Calera(A)
1 - 1
Everton de Vina
Draw
In the last 2 meetings, Union La Calera won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Union La Calera — unbeaten run (home)0
Union La Calera — scoring streak (home)0
Everton de Vina — winless run (away)2
Everton de Vina — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Union La Calera Win (1)52%
Draw (X)25%
Everton de Vina Win (2)24%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
73%
+0.5
47%
27%
+1.5
20%
13%
+2.5
7%
7%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
27%
-0.5
53%
73%
-1.5
80%
87%
-2.5
93%
93%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Union La Calera — scored (home)1.2
Union La Calera — conceded (home)1.07
Everton de Vina — scored (away)0.73
Everton de Vina — conceded (away)1.87
Model expected combined goals2.68
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
Union La Calera — BTTS matches (home)40%
Everton de Vina — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)40%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.577%
Under 5.523%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.537%
Under 8.563%
Over 9.534%
Under 9.566%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Union La Calera (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against3.2
Everton de Vina (away)
Corners for3.1
Corners against6.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Union La Calera
7
7
6
8
11
Everton de Vina
7
14
13
14
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Union La Calera (home)
For2.6
Everton de Vina (away)
For2.8
Shots per Game
Union La Calera — total shots (home)11.6
Everton de Vina — total shots (away)11.4
Shots on Target
Union La Calera — on target (home)3.4
Everton de Vina — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Union La Calera
Inside the box5.57
Outside the box4.23
Everton de Vina
Inside the box7.07
Outside the box5.87
Player Shots Union La Calera
S. Sáez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Benegas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ignacio Mesías
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Insaurralde
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Encinas
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Everton de Vina
S. Sosa
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target33%
C. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
I. Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target25%
R. Piñeiro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Medina
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Union La Calera xG (home)1.05
Everton de Vina xG (away)1.05
Average Possession
49.03%
Possession
46.07%
Team Comparison Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina
76.73%
Pass accuracy
75.13%
383.4
Passes per match
350.97
0
Goals prevented
0
11.5
Fouls committed
10.73
2.76
Goalkeeper saves
2.73
1.74
Offsides
1.22
15.45
Tackles per match
15.77
League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina prediction analysis
Review Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights