Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Union La Calera vs Nublense

Union La Calera vs Nublense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-10-26 21:30
Union La Calera
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Nublense
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
28%
2
28%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Union La Calera (Home)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.07
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate40%

Nublense (Away)

Goals scored / match0.87
Goals conceded / match1.73
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union La Calera
LLLLL
Nublense
WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

73% +0.5 60%
27% +1.5 27%
13% +2.5 0%
7% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Union La Calera averages 1.2 goals scored at home, while Nublense averages 0.87 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
28%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Union La Calera 3 - 0 Nublense Home
May 2025 Union La Calera(A) 1 - 1 Nublense Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Union La Calera won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Union La Calera — unbeaten run (home)0
Union La Calera — scoring streak (home)0
Nublense — winless run (away)6
Nublense — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union La Calera Win (1)44%
Draw (X)28%
Nublense Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

73% +0.5 60%
27% +1.5 27%
13% +2.5 0%
7% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

27% -0.5 40%
73% -1.5 73%
87% -2.5 100%
93% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Union La Calera vs Nublense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union La Calera — scored (home)1.2
Union La Calera — conceded (home)1.07
Nublense — scored (away)0.87
Nublense — conceded (away)1.73
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Union La Calera — BTTS matches (home)40%
Nublense — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)40%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.577%
Under 4.523%
Over 5.567%
Under 5.533%
Over 6.567%
Under 6.533%
Over 7.543%
Under 7.557%
Over 8.537%
Under 8.563%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union La Calera (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against3.2

Nublense (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union La Calera
7 7 6 8 11
Nublense
5 3 5 5 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Union La Calera (home)

For2.6

Nublense (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Union La Calera — total shots (home)11.6
Nublense — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Union La Calera — on target (home)3.4
Nublense — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union La Calera

Inside the box5.57
Outside the box4.23

Nublense

Inside the box8.13
Outside the box4.6

Player Shots Union La Calera

S. Sáez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Benegas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ignacio Mesías
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Insaurralde
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Encinas
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Nublense

G. Sosa
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target15%
P. Rubio
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Graciani
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
F. Mateos
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target4%
Bernardo Cerezo
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union La Calera xG (home)1.05
Nublense xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

49.03% Possession 52.77%

Team Comparison Union La Calera vs Nublense

76.73% Pass accuracy 78.17%
383.4 Passes per match 411.83
0 Goals prevented 0
11.5 Fouls committed 12.8
2.76 Goalkeeper saves 3.17
1.74 Offsides 2.54
15.45 Tackles per match 15.97

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union La Calera vs Nublense prediction analysis

Review Union La Calera vs Nublense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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