Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Union La Calera vs O'Higgins

Union La Calera vs O'Higgins prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-03-02 23:30
Union La Calera
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
O'Higgins
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
26%
2
35%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Union La Calera (Home)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.07
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate40%

O'Higgins (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union La Calera
LLLLL
O'Higgins
WWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

73% +0.5 73%
27% +1.5 47%
13% +2.5 20%
7% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Union La Calera averages 1.2 goals scored at home, while O'Higgins averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
26%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Union La Calera(A) 0 - 1 O'Higgins Away
Mar 2025 Union La Calera 2 - 2 O'Higgins Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Union La Calera won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Union La Calera — unbeaten run (home)0
Union La Calera — scoring streak (home)0
O'Higgins — winless run (away)0
O'Higgins — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union La Calera Win (1)39%
Draw (X)26%
O'Higgins Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

73% +0.5 73%
27% +1.5 47%
13% +2.5 20%
7% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

27% -0.5 27%
73% -1.5 53%
87% -2.5 80%
93% -3.5 93%
100% -4.5 100%

Union La Calera vs O'Higgins — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union La Calera — scored (home)1.2
Union La Calera — conceded (home)1.07
O'Higgins — scored (away)1.47
O'Higgins — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Union La Calera — BTTS matches (home)40%
O'Higgins — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)43.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.580%
Under 5.520%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.557%
Under 7.543%
Over 8.544%
Under 8.556%
Over 9.534%
Under 9.566%
Over 10.520%
Under 10.580%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union La Calera (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against3.2

O'Higgins (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union La Calera
7 7 6 8 11
O'Higgins
10 3 13 15 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Union La Calera (home)

For2.6

O'Higgins (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Union La Calera — total shots (home)11.6
O'Higgins — total shots (away)14.8

Shots on Target

Union La Calera — on target (home)3.4
O'Higgins — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union La Calera

Inside the box5.57
Outside the box4.23

O'Higgins

Inside the box8.17
Outside the box7.13

Player Shots Union La Calera

S. Sáez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Benegas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ignacio Mesías
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Insaurralde
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Encinas
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots O'Higgins

B. Rabello
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target30%
Francisco González
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Montecinos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Romero
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Sarrafiore
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union La Calera xG (home)1.05
O'Higgins xG (away)1.44

Average Possession

49.03% Possession 53.43%

Team Comparison Union La Calera vs O'Higgins

76.73% Pass accuracy 74.5%
383.4 Passes per match 380.67
0 Goals prevented 0
11.5 Fouls committed 12.07
2.76 Goalkeeper saves 2.4
1.74 Offsides 1.21
15.45 Tackles per match 16.13

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union La Calera vs O'Higgins prediction analysis

Review Union La Calera vs O'Higgins with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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