Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Union La Calera vs U. Catolica

Union La Calera vs U. Catolica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-06-20 21:30
Union La Calera
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
U. Catolica
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
29%
2
21%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Union La Calera (Home)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.07
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate40%

U. Catolica (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match0.87
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union La Calera
LLLLL
U. Catolica
WDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

73% +0.5 73%
27% +1.5 27%
13% +2.5 13%
7% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Union La Calera averages 1.2 goals scored at home, while U. Catolica averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
29%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
37%

Head-to-Head last 2

Dec 2025 Union La Calera(A) 1 - 2 U. Catolica Away
Jun 2025 Union La Calera 1 - 1 U. Catolica Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Union La Calera won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Union La Calera — unbeaten run (home)0
Union La Calera — scoring streak (home)0
U. Catolica — winless run (away)1
U. Catolica — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union La Calera Win (1)50%
Draw (X)29%
U. Catolica Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

73% +0.5 73%
27% +1.5 27%
13% +2.5 13%
7% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

27% -0.5 27%
73% -1.5 73%
87% -2.5 87%
93% -3.5 93%
100% -4.5 100%

Union La Calera vs U. Catolica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union La Calera — scored (home)1.2
Union La Calera — conceded (home)1.07
U. Catolica — scored (away)1.2
U. Catolica — conceded (away)0.87
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes37%
No63%

Rate per Team

Union La Calera — BTTS matches (home)40%
U. Catolica — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)46.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.580%
Under 5.520%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.557%
Under 7.543%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union La Calera (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against3.2

U. Catolica (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union La Calera
7 7 6 8 11
U. Catolica
10 13 14 10 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Union La Calera (home)

For2.6

U. Catolica (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Union La Calera — total shots (home)11.6
U. Catolica — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Union La Calera — on target (home)3.4
U. Catolica — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union La Calera

Inside the box5.57
Outside the box4.23

U. Catolica

Inside the box7.63
Outside the box4.27

Player Shots Union La Calera

S. Sáez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Benegas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ignacio Mesías
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Insaurralde
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Encinas
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots U. Catolica

F. Zampedri
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target32%
C. Montes
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target21%
V. Carcamo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
E. Bello
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union La Calera xG (home)1.05
U. Catolica xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

49.03% Possession 54.2%

Team Comparison Union La Calera vs U. Catolica

76.73% Pass accuracy 80.53%
383.4 Passes per match 398.13
0 Goals prevented 0
11.5 Fouls committed 13.4
2.76 Goalkeeper saves 2.47
1.74 Offsides 1.53
15.45 Tackles per match 14.33

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union La Calera vs U. Catolica prediction analysis

Review Union La Calera vs U. Catolica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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