Prediction Analysis: Union Magdalena vs Águilas Doradas
Union Magdalena vs Águilas Doradas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-10-04
21:10
Union Magdalena
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Águilas Doradas
Away
Prediction Summary
1
32%
X
31%
2
38%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Union Magdalena (Home)
Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%
Águilas Doradas (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Union Magdalena
WLLLW
Águilas Doradas
LLWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
63%
+0.5
60%
37%
+1.5
25%
16%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
5%
58%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.
Union Magdalena averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Águilas Doradas averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
68%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
32%
Draw
31%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
40%
Head-to-Head last 2
Oct 2025
Union Magdalena
3 - 2
Águilas Doradas
Home
Apr 2025
Union Magdalena(A)
1 - 1
Águilas Doradas
Draw
In the last 2 meetings, Union Magdalena won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Union Magdalena — unbeaten run (home)1
Union Magdalena — scoring streak (home)1
Águilas Doradas — winless run (away)1
Águilas Doradas — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Union Magdalena Win (1)32%
Draw (X)31%
Águilas Doradas Win (2)38%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
63%
+0.5
60%
37%
+1.5
25%
16%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
5%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
37%
-0.5
40%
63%
-1.5
75%
84%
-2.5
95%
100%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
95%
Union Magdalena vs Águilas Doradas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Union Magdalena — scored (home)1.16
Union Magdalena — conceded (home)1.37
Águilas Doradas — scored (away)1
Águilas Doradas — conceded (away)1.1
Model expected combined goals1.99
Both Teams To Score
Yes40%
No60%
Rate per Team
Union Magdalena — BTTS matches (home)58%
Águilas Doradas — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)54%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.533%
Under 9.567%
Over 10.528%
Under 10.572%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Union Magdalena (home)
Corners for3.8
Corners against3.6
Águilas Doradas (away)
Corners for4.7
Corners against5.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Union Magdalena
3
14
12
11
10
Águilas Doradas
16
7
12
9
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Union Magdalena (home)
For3.1
Águilas Doradas (away)
For3.0
Shots per Game
Union Magdalena — total shots (home)14.1
Águilas Doradas — total shots (away)11.3
Shots on Target
Union Magdalena — on target (home)4.1
Águilas Doradas — on target (away)3.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Union Magdalena
Inside the box5.77
Outside the box5.72
Águilas Doradas
Inside the box6.5
Outside the box5.55
Player Shots Union Magdalena
R. Márquez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Sarmiento
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target8%
R. Blanco
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
C. Iguaran
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
O. Aragon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots Águilas Doradas
Y. González
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target22%
F. Salazar
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Rivaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Lemos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
W. Morelo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target6%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Magdalena xG (home)1.16
Águilas Doradas xG (away)1.19
Average Possession
45.9%
Possession
47.55%
Team Comparison Union Magdalena vs Águilas Doradas
75.59%
Pass accuracy
77.18%
333
Passes per match
329.4
0
Goals prevented
0
13.13
Fouls committed
11.88
3.18
Goalkeeper saves
2.8
1.74
Offsides
1.56
13.23
Tackles per match
12.18
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Union Magdalena vs Águilas Doradas prediction analysis
Review Union Magdalena vs Águilas Doradas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights