Prediction Analysis: Union Magdalena vs Deportivo Cali
Union Magdalena vs Deportivo Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-03-03
22:00
Union Magdalena
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
8%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Deportivo Cali
Away
Prediction Summary
1
16%
X
45%
2
38%
Under 2.5
92%
BTTS No
86%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Union Magdalena (Home)
Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%
Deportivo Cali (Away)
Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate35%
Team Form last 5 matches
Union Magdalena
WLLLW
Deportivo Cali
DLLLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
63%
+0.5
45%
37%
+1.5
20%
16%
+2.5
15%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
58%
BTTS
35%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 8%. Model confidence is High.
Union Magdalena averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Cali averages 0.85 goals scored away.
Model Strength
92%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
16%
Draw
45%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
8%
BTTS Yes
14%
Head-to-Head last 2
Aug 2025
Union Magdalena(A)
1 - 3
Deportivo Cali
Away
Mar 2025
Union Magdalena
2 - 2
Deportivo Cali
Draw
In the last 2 meetings, Union Magdalena won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Union Magdalena — unbeaten run (home)1
Union Magdalena — scoring streak (home)1
Deportivo Cali — winless run (away)4
Deportivo Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Union Magdalena Win (1)16%
Draw (X)45%
Deportivo Cali Win (2)38%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
63%
+0.5
45%
37%
+1.5
20%
16%
+2.5
15%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
37%
-0.5
55%
63%
-1.5
80%
84%
-2.5
85%
100%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
100%
Union Magdalena vs Deportivo Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Union Magdalena — scored (home)1.16
Union Magdalena — conceded (home)1.37
Deportivo Cali — scored (away)0.85
Deportivo Cali — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals1
Both Teams To Score
Yes14%
No86%
Rate per Team
Union Magdalena — BTTS matches (home)58%
Deportivo Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)46.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.549%
Under 8.551%
Over 9.536%
Under 9.564%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Union Magdalena (home)
Corners for3.8
Corners against3.6
Deportivo Cali (away)
Corners for4.5
Corners against4.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Union Magdalena
3
14
12
11
10
Deportivo Cali
5
8
9
16
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Union Magdalena (home)
For3.1
Deportivo Cali (away)
For3.0
Shots per Game
Union Magdalena — total shots (home)14.1
Deportivo Cali — total shots (away)10.1
Shots on Target
Union Magdalena — on target (home)4.1
Deportivo Cali — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Union Magdalena
Inside the box5.77
Outside the box5.72
Deportivo Cali
Inside the box6.69
Outside the box4.79
Player Shots Union Magdalena
R. Márquez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Sarmiento
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target8%
R. Blanco
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
C. Iguaran
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
O. Aragon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots Deportivo Cali
J. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Estupinan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Magdalena xG (home)1.16
Deportivo Cali xG (away)1.11
Average Possession
45.9%
Possession
51.1%
Team Comparison Union Magdalena vs Deportivo Cali
75.59%
Pass accuracy
78%
333
Passes per match
351.97
0
Goals prevented
0
13.13
Fouls committed
13.64
3.18
Goalkeeper saves
2.56
1.74
Offsides
1.97
13.23
Tackles per match
14.03
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Union Magdalena vs Deportivo Cali prediction analysis
Review Union Magdalena vs Deportivo Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights